Sport
Signal: MediumMarket data current
Will the Cincinnati Bengals make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
66%
Limited history+4.5pp
24h activity $1KCloses 5 Jan 2027
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Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 69% probability for this outcome, a +0.1pp change over 24 hours. Figures may lag the live source market.
Current implied probability
69%Probability is mostly stable over 24h. Signal quality is low because market activity is limited.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
69%
24h Change
+0.1pp
7D Change
Under 7d tracked
30D Change
Under 30d tracked
Snapshots
100
What changed
A plain-language read of the stored probability path. It describes timing, not cause.
Sharpest move: fell 8.0pp, from 78% to 70%, between 00:00 and 01:00 UTC.
78%
21 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC
78%
21 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC
78%
21 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC
78%
21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
70%
23 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC
69%
25 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability is mostly stable over 24h. The recorded move is up 0.1pp. Signal quality is low because market activity is limited; liquidity is $11K and 24h activity is $80. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Bengals | 66.0% | +4.5pp | $10K | active |
| New York Giants | 30.0% | -4.5pp | $10K | active |
| Chicago Bears | 71.5% | -0.5pp | $10K | active |
| Dallas Cowboys | 49.0% | -0.5pp | $17K | active |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 20.0% | +1.0pp | $9K | active |
| New England Patriots | 69.3% | +0.1pp | $11K | active |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 18.5% | -0.5pp | $16K | active |
| Houston Texans | 47.0% | — | $10K | active |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 82.0% | — | $6K | active |
| Los Angeles Rams | 43.0% | — | $15K | active |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 3.0% | +0.3pp | $5K | active |
| Washington Commanders | 15.5% | -1.5pp | $3K | active |
| Baltimore Ravens | 76.5% | — | $16K | active |
| Green Bay Packers | 57.0% | +1.0pp | $15K | active |
| New Orleans Saints | 21.5% | — | $15K | active |
| Arizona Cardinals | 5.8% | -0.1pp | $7K | active |
| San Francisco 49ers | 96.8% | -0.4pp | $4K | active |
| Seattle Seahawks | 62.5% | -0.5pp | $11K | active |
| Carolina Panthers | 52.5% | — | $16K | active |
| Denver Broncos | 71.0% | — | $18K | active |
| Minnesota Vikings | 82.0% | — | $10K | active |
| Atlanta Falcons | 25.0% | — | $15K | active |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 40.0% | -1.0pp | $4K | active |
| New York Jets | 7.5% | +0.5pp | $4K | active |
| Cleveland Browns | 30.6% | +0.6pp | $3K | active |
| Buffalo Bills | 90.5% | — | $4K | active |
| Miami Dolphins | 2.5% | +0.7pp | $3K | active |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 13.0% | — | $16K | active |
| Indianapolis Colts | 10.5% | — | $6K | active |
| Detroit Lions | 61.0% | — | $15K | active |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 93.5% | -0.5pp | $15K | active |
| Tennessee Titans | 2.5% | — | $2K | active |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.
Forward watch
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a spot in the 2026-27 NFL Playoffs per the rules of the NFL. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026-27 NFL Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Any tiebreaker will not be considered part of the NFL Playoffs. If the 2026-27 NFL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed to begin after January 24, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the full 14-team playoff field has not been officially confirmed by the NFL within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and/or the clinching team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 5 Jan 2027, 00:00 UTC