Sport
Signal: MediumMarket data current
Will the Washington Commanders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
22%
Limited history-0.5pp
24h activity $2KCloses 5 Jan 2027
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Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 58% probability for this outcome. Figures may lag the live source market.
Current implied probability
58%24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
58%
24h Change
0.0pp
7D Change
Under 7d tracked
30D Change
Under 30d tracked
Snapshots
100
What changed
A plain-language read of the stored probability path. It describes timing, not cause.
Sharpest stored-history interval: rose 21.0pp, from 40% to 61%, between 18:00 and 19:00 UTC.
47%
13 Sept 2026, 08:00 UTC
47%
13 Sept 2026, 09:00 UTC
47%
13 Sept 2026, 10:00 UTC
47%
13 Sept 2026, 11:00 UTC
61%
13 Sept 2026, 19:00 UTC
58%
17 Sept 2026, 11:00 UTC
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Commanders | 21.5% | -0.5pp | $20K | active |
| Arizona Cardinals | 9.1% | +0.5pp | $8K | active |
| New York Jets | 16.5% | — | $3K | active |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 47.5% | -1.0pp | $10K | active |
| Baltimore Ravens | 82.5% | +0.5pp | $4K | active |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 41.5% | -0.5pp | $11K | active |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 39.0% | -1.0pp | $20K | active |
| New York Giants | 37.5% | +0.5pp | $7K | active |
| Denver Broncos | 50.5% | +0.5pp | $9K | active |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 56.5% | +1.0pp | $15K | active |
| Dallas Cowboys | 39.5% | — | $10K | active |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 65.5% | -0.5pp | $14K | active |
| New England Patriots | 57.5% | — | $5K | active |
| Miami Dolphins | 4.8% | +0.7pp | $2K | active |
| New Orleans Saints | 31.5% | — | $8K | active |
| Los Angeles Rams | 70.5% | — | $9K | active |
| Seattle Seahawks | 67.0% | — | $9K | active |
| San Francisco 49ers | 68.0% | +1.5pp | $6K | active |
| Green Bay Packers | 43.0% | +2.5pp | $9K | active |
| Tennessee Titans | 7.5% | +0.5pp | $2K | active |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 72.5% | — | $11K | active |
| Minnesota Vikings | 46.0% | — | $10K | active |
| Chicago Bears | 57.5% | — | $9K | active |
| Carolina Panthers | 24.5% | -0.5pp | $12K | active |
| Cleveland Browns | 3.3% | +0.05pp | $2K | active |
| Buffalo Bills | 79.5% | — | $15K | active |
| Detroit Lions | 66.5% | +0.5pp | $10K | active |
| Atlanta Falcons | 21.5% | — | $4K | active |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 74.5% | — | $9K | active |
| Indianapolis Colts | 29.0% | — | $7K | active |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 16.5% | — | $3K | active |
| Houston Texans | 58.5% | +0.5pp | $8K | active |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.
Forward watch
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a spot in the 2026-27 NFL Playoffs per the rules of the NFL. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026-27 NFL Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Any tiebreaker will not be considered part of the NFL Playoffs. If the 2026-27 NFL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed to begin after January 24, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the full 14-team playoff field has not been officially confirmed by the NFL within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and/or the clinching team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 5 Jan 2027, 00:00 UTC