Sport
Signal: MediumMarket data current
Will the Arizona Cardinals make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
10%
Limited history-2.8pp
24h activity $983Closes 5 Jan 2027
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Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 78% probability for this outcome, a +12.0pp change over 24 hours. Figures may lag the live source market.
Current implied probability
78%Probability moved strongly over 24h. Signal quality is low because market activity is limited.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
78%
24h Change
+12.0pp
7D Change
Under 7d tracked
30D Change
Under 30d tracked
Snapshots
100
What changed
A plain-language read of the stored probability path. It describes timing, not cause.
Stored-history window: rose 12.0pp from 66% to 78%; no single sharp inflection was detected.
66%
17 Sept 2026, 04:00 UTC
66%
17 Sept 2026, 05:00 UTC
66%
17 Sept 2026, 06:00 UTC
66%
17 Sept 2026, 07:00 UTC
73%
20 Sept 2026, 23:00 UTC
78%
21 Sept 2026, 07:00 UTC
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability moved strongly over 24h. The recorded move is up 12.0pp. Signal quality is low because market activity is limited; liquidity is $3K and 24h activity is $65. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Cardinals | 10.3% | -2.8pp | $4K | active |
| Baltimore Ravens | 66.0% | -16.5pp | $4K | active |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 23.0% | -24.5pp | $7K | active |
| Chicago Bears | 41.5% | -16.0pp | $2K | active |
| Green Bay Packers | 45.5% | +3.0pp | $2K | active |
| Houston Texans | 42.5% | -17.0pp | $2K | active |
| Washington Commanders | 12.5% | -9.0pp | $2K | active |
| New York Jets | 14.5% | -1.5pp | $1K | active |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 47.5% | +9.0pp | $5K | active |
| Carolina Panthers | 47.0% | +25.5pp | $2K | active |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 72.5% | -2.0pp | $3K | active |
| Cleveland Browns | 9.0% | +3.6pp | $4K | active |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 28.0% | +12.0pp | $2K | active |
| New York Giants | 46.5% | +9.0pp | $2K | active |
| Atlanta Falcons | 8.5% | -13.0pp | $2K | active |
| New Orleans Saints | 46.0% | +14.5pp | $2K | active |
| Dallas Cowboys | 48.5% | +6.5pp | $4K | active |
| Denver Broncos | 53.0% | +2.5pp | $2K | active |
| Minnesota Vikings | 49.0% | +3.0pp | $2K | active |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 71.0% | -0.5pp | $3K | active |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 77.5% | +12.0pp | $3K | active |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 56.5% | -2.0pp | $2K | active |
| Detroit Lions | 60.5% | -1.0pp | $3K | active |
| San Francisco 49ers | 74.5% | +6.0pp | $2K | active |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 35.0% | -6.5pp | $2K | active |
| Seattle Seahawks | 76.0% | +8.5pp | $3K | active |
| Los Angeles Rams | 70.5% | — | $8K | active |
| Tennessee Titans | 10.0% | +1.0pp | $1K | active |
| New England Patriots | 61.6% | +4.5pp | $2K | active |
| Buffalo Bills | 86.5% | — | $3K | active |
| Miami Dolphins | 6.2% | +1.9pp | $2K | active |
| Indianapolis Colts | 29.5% | — | $2K | active |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.
Forward watch
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a spot in the 2026-27 NFL Playoffs per the rules of the NFL. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026-27 NFL Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Any tiebreaker will not be considered part of the NFL Playoffs. If the 2026-27 NFL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed to begin after January 24, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the full 14-team playoff field has not been officially confirmed by the NFL within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and/or the clinching team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 5 Jan 2027, 00:00 UTC