Sport
Signal: LowMarket data current
Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
20%
Limited history-0.5pp
24h activity $273Closes 5 Jan 2027
Loading the latest market intelligence…
Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 25% probability for this outcome, a +4.0pp change over 24 hours. Figures may lag the live source market.
Current implied probability
25%Probability moved moderately over 24h. Signal quality is low because market activity is limited.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
25%
24h Change
+4.0pp
7D Change
Under 7d tracked
30D Change
Under 30d tracked
Snapshots
100
What changed
A plain-language read of the stored probability path. It describes timing, not cause.
Sharpest move: rose 3.0pp, from 22% to 25%, between 18:00 and 19:00 UTC.
24%
20 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC
24%
20 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC
24%
20 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC
24%
20 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC
25%
23 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
25%
24 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability moved moderately over 24h. The recorded move is up 4.0pp. Signal quality is low because market activity is limited; liquidity is $3K and 24h activity is $180. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Eagles | 19.5% | -0.5pp | $5K | active |
| Los Angeles Rams | 44.5% | -3.5pp | $3K | active |
| Atlanta Falcons | 25.0% | +4.0pp | $3K | active |
| Chicago Bears | 71.5% | +3.0pp | $3K | active |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 19.0% | -0.5pp | $3K | active |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 94.5% | +3.5pp | $4K | active |
| Green Bay Packers | 56.5% | +2.0pp | $4K | active |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 83.5% | +1.0pp | $3K | active |
| Carolina Panthers | 52.0% | -4.0pp | $4K | active |
| Dallas Cowboys | 49.5% | -0.5pp | $5K | active |
| Baltimore Ravens | 76.5% | — | $5K | active |
| San Francisco 49ers | 97.3% | +0.05pp | $6K | active |
| New York Giants | 34.5% | +0.5pp | $6K | active |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 2.7% | +0.2pp | $6K | active |
| Washington Commanders | 16.0% | -3.0pp | $3K | active |
| New Orleans Saints | 21.5% | -1.0pp | $4K | active |
| Arizona Cardinals | 6.0% | -0.7pp | $8K | active |
| New England Patriots | 68.8% | +2.1pp | $4K | active |
| Seattle Seahawks | 63.0% | +0.5pp | $4K | active |
| Houston Texans | 47.0% | — | $3K | active |
| Denver Broncos | 71.0% | -0.5pp | $7K | active |
| Minnesota Vikings | 81.5% | +1.0pp | $4K | active |
| New York Jets | 7.0% | -3.0pp | $3K | active |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 41.0% | — | $5K | active |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 61.5% | -0.5pp | $5K | active |
| Cleveland Browns | 29.9% | +0.7pp | $4K | active |
| Buffalo Bills | 90.5% | +0.5pp | $5K | active |
| Miami Dolphins | 1.8% | -0.6pp | $4K | active |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 12.5% | — | $4K | active |
| Indianapolis Colts | 10.5% | -0.5pp | $4K | active |
| Detroit Lions | 61.0% | -1.0pp | $4K | active |
| Tennessee Titans | 2.5% | -4.2pp | $4K | active |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.
Forward watch
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a spot in the 2026-27 NFL Playoffs per the rules of the NFL. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026-27 NFL Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Any tiebreaker will not be considered part of the NFL Playoffs. If the 2026-27 NFL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed to begin after January 24, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the full 14-team playoff field has not been officially confirmed by the NFL within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and/or the clinching team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 25 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC