Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +3.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
39%
-3.5ppVol $32KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Category
Tech/AI
Product launches, regulation, and adoption forecasts in probability terms.
372 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 33 of 33 matching tech/ai markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +3.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
17%
+3.0ppVol $8KCloses 30 Sept 2026
Tech/AI
MediumStale data
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
98%
+16.3ppVol $7KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +3.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
66%
+3.0ppVol $7KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
HighFresh
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?
Included because probability moved +5.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
76%
+5.0ppVol $7KCloses 7 Jul 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Frank Ocean release an album in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +5.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
17%
-5.5ppVol $5KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Eminem release an album in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +14.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
32%
-14.5ppVol $3KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Justin Bieber release an album in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +5.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
58%
-5.0ppVol $3KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
HighFresh
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Included because probability moved -6.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
83%
-6.0ppVol $3KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Lil Uzi Vert release a new song in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +8.6pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
84%
+8.6ppVol $2KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
MediumFresh
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Included because probability moved +4.5pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
88%
+4.5ppVol $2KCloses 9 Jul 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Jay Z release an album in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +4.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
72%
-4.5ppVol $928Closes 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Project Helix release by May 31, 2027?
Low-confidence: move is +17.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
26%
-17.5ppVol $612Closes 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +5.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
41%
-5.5ppVol $518Closes 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Travis Scott release an album in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +10.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
52%
+10.0ppVol $475Closes 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +9.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
37%
+9.0ppVol $457Closes 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?
Low-confidence: move is +12.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
17%
+12.0ppVol $453Closes 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Beyoncé release a new song in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +18.1pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
71%
+18.1ppVol $224Closes 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Sabrina Carpenter release an album in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +4.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
47%
+4.5ppVol $208Closes 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will NewJeans release a song in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +5.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
49%
+5.0ppVol $149Closes 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
HighFresh
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Included because probability moved +5.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
92%
+5.0ppVol $137Closes 31 Dec 2027
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Billie Eilish release an album in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +5.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
19%
+5.0ppVol $94Closes 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +10.4pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
64%
+10.4ppVol $55Closes 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +3.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
68%
-3.0ppVol $32Closes 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Strava’s market cap be between $4B and $5B at market close on IPO day?
Low-confidence: move is +25.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
30%
+25.0ppVol $23Closes 31 Dec 2027
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day?
Low-confidence: move is +10.3pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
13%
-10.3ppVol $13Closes 31 Dec 2027
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +13.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
41%
-13.0ppVol $13Closes 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Rihanna release an album in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +22.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
42%
+22.5ppVol $12Closes 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Strava’s market cap be between $5B and $7B at market close on IPO day?
Low-confidence: move is +5.2pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
6%
+5.2ppVol $8Closes 31 Dec 2027
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Strava’s market cap be less than $2B at market close on IPO day?
Low-confidence: move is +5.8pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
8%
+5.8ppVol $8Closes 31 Dec 2027
Tech/AI
LowFresh
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Low-confidence: move is +3.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
47%
-3.5ppVol $5Closes 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Project Helix release by December 31, 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +4.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
41%
-4.5ppVol $0Closes 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Lil Uzi Vert release an album in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +8.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
58%
+8.0ppVol $0Closes 31 Dec 2026
Avg 24h move 2.9pp66 markets with notable movementCombined activity $1.2M
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