Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved -5.3pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
39%
-5.3ppCategory
Tournament and season outcome probability movement across major leagues.
2,957 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 11 of 11 matching sport markets.
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Included because probability moved -5.3pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
39%
-5.3ppIncluded because probability moved +8.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
48%
+8.5ppIncluded because probability moved -11.2pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
17%
-11.2ppIncluded because probability moved +10.2pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
18%
+10.2ppExcluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
98%
+4.1ppExcluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-3.1ppExcluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
13%
-35.7ppIncluded because probability moved +5.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
60%
+5.0ppIncluded because probability moved -5.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
38%
-5.5ppIncluded because probability moved +9.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
50%
+9.0ppIncluded because probability moved -13.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
9%
-13.0pp