Sport
HighFresh
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved -5.3pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
39%
-5.3ppVol $214KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Category
Sport
Tournament and season outcome probability movement across major leagues.
2,957 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 11 of 11 matching sport markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Sport
HighFresh
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved +8.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
48%
+8.5ppVol $141KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
Included because probability moved -11.2pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
17%
-11.2ppVol $117KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
Included because probability moved +10.2pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
18%
+10.2ppVol $108KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumStale data
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
98%
+4.1ppVol $93KCloses 19 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumStale data
Will Elina Svitolina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-3.1ppVol $62KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumStale data
Will Beşiktaş Gain win Turkey BSL?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
13%
-35.7ppVol $61KCloses 1 Dec 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Included because probability moved +5.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
60%
+5.0ppVol $36KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved -5.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
38%
-5.5ppVol $25KCloses 20 Aug 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved +9.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
50%
+9.0ppVol $17KCloses 20 Aug 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Included because probability moved -13.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
9%
-13.0ppVol $13KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Avg 24h move 3.1pp451 markets with notable movementCombined activity $9.6M
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