Politics
MediumFresh
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $2.1MCloses 31 Dec 2026
Category
Politics
Elections, policy outcomes, and legislative probability intelligence.
3,651 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 36 of 360 matching politics markets.
Showing 1-36 of 360 markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Politics
LowFresh
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $2.0MCloses 3 Nov 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $1.8MCloses 3 Nov 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $1.7MCloses 3 Nov 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $1.6MCloses 3 Nov 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $1.6MCloses 3 Nov 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $1.6MCloses 3 Nov 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $1.5MCloses 3 Nov 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $1.5MCloses 3 Nov 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $1.4MCloses 3 Nov 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $1.4MCloses 3 Nov 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.05ppVol $1.3MCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $1.1MCloses 3 Nov 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
0%
+0.1ppVol $907KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $852KCloses 13 Sept 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $822KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $793KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $771KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
1%
-0.1ppVol $725KCloses 29 Jul 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $673KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
1%
-0.1ppVol $672KCloses 4 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $541KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $502KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will James Cleverly be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $423KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
LowStale data
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-0.05ppVol $397KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $395KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
0%
+0.05ppVol $389KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Boris Johnson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $374KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.3pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.3ppVol $354KCloses —
Politics
LowFresh
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.05ppVol $325KCloses 3 Nov 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $304KCloses 30 Apr 2027
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $296KCloses 7 Nov 2028
Politics
LowFresh
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
1%
-0.05ppVol $284KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.1ppVol $282KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $276KCloses 4 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.1ppVol $272KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Avg 24h move 1.7pp372 markets with notable movementCombined activity $94.7M
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