Finance
LowFresh
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
Low-confidence: move is +4.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
35%
-4.5ppVol $65KCloses 31 Dec 2027
Category
Finance
Macro, rates, and equity benchmark probability signals from prediction markets.
586 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 36 of 66 matching finance markets.
Showing 1-36 of 66 markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Finance
LowFresh
Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +4.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
11%
-4.5ppVol $12KCloses 20 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.90% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +3.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
54%
+3.0ppVol $6KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 5.50%?
Low-confidence: move is +4.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
12%
-4.0ppVol $5KCloses 8 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.50% and 2.99%?
Low-confidence: move is +4.2pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
21%
-4.2ppVol $4KCloses 8 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?
Low-confidence: move is +5.7pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
14%
-5.7ppVol $2KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +3.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
40%
-3.0ppVol $2KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will world GDP growth be 3.2% in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +14.2pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
24%
+14.2ppVol $2KCloses 15 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.6% and 1.8%?
Low-confidence: move is +19.1pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
33%
+19.1ppVol $1KCloses 19 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4%?
Low-confidence: move is +11.3pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
14%
-11.3ppVol $1KCloses 19 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?
Low-confidence: move is +8.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
18%
-8.0ppVol $1KCloses 20 Jan 2027
Finance
MediumStale data
Will USD/CAD hit 1.42 (High) in 2026?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
98%
+10.6ppVol $1KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?
Low-confidence: move is +21.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
29%
-21.5ppVol $999Closes 31 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?
Low-confidence: move is +7.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
47%
-7.0ppVol $906Closes 12 Feb 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will the US economy have slack at the end of 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +3.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
13%
+3.5ppVol $903Closes 31 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0%?
Low-confidence: move is +4.4pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
8%
-4.4ppVol $900Closes 31 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.8% and 3.0%?
Low-confidence: move is +3.3pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
30%
-3.3ppVol $889Closes 19 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?
Low-confidence: move is +11.7pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
28%
+11.7ppVol $813Closes 12 Feb 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
Low-confidence: move is +3.4pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
28%
-3.4ppVol $804Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
Low-confidence: move is +3.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
13%
-3.5ppVol $795Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.74%?
Low-confidence: move is +3.3pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
17%
+3.3ppVol $768Closes 12 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will South African inflation be between 3.8% and 4.1% in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +5.2pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
22%
-5.2ppVol $763Closes 20 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +22.1pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
12%
-22.1ppVol $679Closes 15 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Amazon 2026 capex above $210B?
Low-confidence: move is +7.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
50%
-7.5ppVol $664Closes 30 Apr 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%?
Low-confidence: move is +4.4pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
16%
+4.4ppVol $556Closes 23 Jul 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will South African inflation be between 2.9% and 3.2% in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +6.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
12%
+6.5ppVol $540Closes 20 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 1.5% and 1.9%?
Low-confidence: move is +3.9pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
5%
-3.9ppVol $496Closes 20 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%?
Low-confidence: move is +4.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
21%
-4.0ppVol $420Closes 20 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will South African inflation be less than 2.6% in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +3.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
16%
+3.5ppVol $356Closes 20 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?
Low-confidence: move is +25.8pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
54%
+25.8ppVol $353Closes 31 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6%?
Low-confidence: move is +6.8pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
15%
-6.8ppVol $333Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will EUR/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +19.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
41%
-19.5ppVol $314Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 4.5%?
Low-confidence: move is +4.8pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
6%
+4.8ppVol $304Closes 23 Jul 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Amazon 2026 capex above $220B?
Low-confidence: move is +3.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
50%
+3.0ppVol $298Closes 30 Apr 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will USD/KRW hit 1350 (Low) in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +3.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
43%
+3.5ppVol $273Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will USD/JPY hit 120 (Low) in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +6.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
7%
-6.5ppVol $190Closes 31 Dec 2026
Avg 24h move 3.2pp107 markets with notable movementCombined activity $340K
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