Sport
Signal: MediumMarket data current
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
88%
Limited history+3.9pp
24h activity $1KCloses 16 May 2027
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Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 30% probability for this outcome, a -0.5pp change over 24 hours. Figures may lag the live source market.
Current implied probability
30%Probability is mostly stable over 24h. Signal quality is low because market activity is limited.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
30%
24h Change
-0.5pp
7D Change
Under 7d tracked
30D Change
Under 30d tracked
Snapshots
37
What changed
A plain-language read of the stored probability path. It describes timing, not cause.
Over the tracked window: rose 0.5pp from 29% to 30%, gradually rather than in one jump.
29%
4 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC
30%
4 Nov 2026, 07:00 UTC
30%
4 Nov 2026, 08:00 UTC
30%
4 Nov 2026, 09:00 UTC
31%
4 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC
30%
5 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability is mostly stable over 24h. The recorded move is down 0.5pp. Signal quality is low because market activity is limited; liquidity is $17K and 24h activity is unavailable. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 88.0% | +3.9pp | $16K | active |
| Charlotte Hornets | 34.5% | -4.0pp | $3K | active |
| Miami Heat | 60.5% | -3.0pp | $15K | active |
| Washington Wizards | 30.0% | -3.5pp | $15K | active |
| Dallas Mavericks | 42.0% | -2.5pp | $15K | active |
| LA Clippers | 12.5% | — | $14K | active |
| Indiana Pacers | 40.0% | -2.0pp | $4K | active |
| Atlanta Hawks | 63.5% | -1.0pp | $15K | active |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 46.5% | -1.0pp | $16K | active |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 88.0% | — | $20K | active |
| Golden State Warriors | 49.5% | +0.5pp | $2K | active |
| Houston Rockets | 92.0% | -0.5pp | $19K | active |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 14.5% | +0.5pp | $15K | active |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 80.0% | +2.5pp | $3K | active |
| Utah Jazz | 12.0% | -2.5pp | $17K | active |
| Phoenix Suns | 29.5% | -0.5pp | $17K | active |
| Detroit Pistons | 91.5% | -2.5pp | $18K | active |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 5.0% | +0.3pp | $15K | active |
| Sacramento Kings | 3.0% | -0.3pp | $14K | active |
| Toronto Raptors | 84.0% | +1.0pp | $16K | active |
| Boston Celtics | 92.0% | — | $18K | active |
| Chicago Bulls | 5.5% | -0.5pp | $14K | active |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 81.5% | — | $16K | active |
| Brooklyn Nets | 4.5% | +0.8pp | $15K | active |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 85.5% | +2.0pp | $17K | active |
| Orlando Magic | 40.5% | -4.0pp | $16K | active |
| Denver Nuggets | 83.5% | +4.5pp | $15K | active |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 84.0% | — | $15K | active |
| New York Knicks | 85.0% | — | $15K | active |
| San Antonio Spurs | 96.5% | — | $21K | active |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.
Forward watch
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a spot in the 2027 NBA Playoffs per the rules of the NBA. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2027 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Reaching the Play-In Tournament does not, by itself, qualify a team for the Playoffs and will not resolve this market to "Yes." A team must win its way through the Play-In into the 7-seed or 8-seed to qualify. Losing in the Play-In Tournament (or any associated tiebreaker) resolves this market to "No." If the 2027 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed to begin after May 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the full 16-team playoff field has not been officially confirmed by the NBA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA and/or the clinching team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 16 May 2027, 03:59 UTC