Sport
Signal: MediumMarket data current
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
81%
Limited history+1.0pp
24h activity $722Closes 16 May 2027
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Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 91% probability for this outcome, a +2.5pp change over 24 hours. Figures may lag the live source market.
Current implied probability
91%Recent probability movement (up 2.5pp) is weak, with acceptable but not deep market activity.
Signal: MediumCurrent
91%
24h Change
+2.5pp
7D Change
Under 7d tracked
30D Change
Under 30d tracked
Snapshots
52
What changed
A plain-language read of the stored probability path. It describes timing, not cause.
Sharpest move: rose 2.5pp, from 88% to 91%, between 03:00 and 04:00 UTC.
88%
4 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC
88%
4 Nov 2026, 07:00 UTC
88%
4 Nov 2026, 08:00 UTC
88%
4 Nov 2026, 09:00 UTC
91%
6 Nov 2026, 04:00 UTC
91%
6 Nov 2026, 09:00 UTC
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability changed slightly over 24h. The recorded move is up 2.5pp. Activity is moderate — the move is plausible but not fully confirmed by deep liquidity.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Trail Blazers | 81.0% | +1.0pp | $3K | active |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 90.5% | +2.5pp | $22K | active |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 93.9% | +8.3pp | $19K | active |
| Charlotte Hornets | 34.5% | -4.0pp | $2K | active |
| Washington Wizards | 26.0% | -4.5pp | $15K | active |
| Golden State Warriors | 56.0% | +6.5pp | $2K | active |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 46.5% | -0.5pp | $15K | active |
| LA Clippers | 12.5% | — | $14K | active |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 82.5% | -1.0pp | $16K | active |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 81.5% | — | $16K | active |
| Phoenix Suns | 29.5% | — | $17K | active |
| New York Knicks | 85.5% | +0.5pp | $15K | active |
| Toronto Raptors | 84.5% | +1.0pp | $16K | active |
| Utah Jazz | 14.0% | +1.0pp | $17K | active |
| Atlanta Hawks | 59.0% | -2.5pp | $15K | active |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 18.0% | +4.0pp | $15K | active |
| Houston Rockets | 94.0% | +2.0pp | $20K | active |
| Indiana Pacers | 41.0% | +1.5pp | $3K | active |
| Miami Heat | 60.0% | -0.5pp | $15K | active |
| Detroit Pistons | 90.5% | -1.0pp | $18K | active |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 5.0% | -0.1pp | $15K | active |
| Dallas Mavericks | 42.0% | +0.5pp | $15K | active |
| Sacramento Kings | 2.9% | -0.6pp | $14K | active |
| Boston Celtics | 93.0% | +1.0pp | $18K | active |
| Chicago Bulls | 5.5% | — | $14K | active |
| Brooklyn Nets | 4.3% | +0.6pp | $14K | active |
| Orlando Magic | 39.5% | -3.0pp | $15K | active |
| Denver Nuggets | 83.5% | -1.0pp | $15K | active |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 84.0% | — | $15K | active |
| San Antonio Spurs | 96.5% | +0.05pp | $22K | active |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.
Forward watch
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a spot in the 2027 NBA Playoffs per the rules of the NBA. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2027 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Reaching the Play-In Tournament does not, by itself, qualify a team for the Playoffs and will not resolve this market to "Yes." A team must win its way through the Play-In into the 7-seed or 8-seed to qualify. Losing in the Play-In Tournament (or any associated tiebreaker) resolves this market to "No." If the 2027 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed to begin after May 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the full 16-team playoff field has not been officially confirmed by the NBA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA and/or the clinching team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 16 May 2027, 03:59 UTC