Sport
Signal: MediumMarket data current
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?
3%
Limited history
24h activity $44KCloses 1 Apr 2027
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Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 0% probability for this outcome, a -0.1pp change over 24 hours. Figures may lag the live source market.
Current implied probability
0%Probability is mostly stable over 24h. Signal quality is low because market activity is limited.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
0%
24h Change
-0.1pp
7D Change
Under 7d tracked
30D Change
Under 30d tracked
Snapshots
100
What changed
A plain-language read of the stored probability path. It describes timing, not cause.
Over the tracked window: fell 0.1pp from 0% to 0%, gradually rather than in one jump.
0%
18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
0%
18 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
0%
18 Oct 2026, 12:03 UTC
0%
18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
0%
18 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
0%
22 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability is mostly stable over 24h. The recorded move is down 0.1pp. Signal quality is low because market activity is limited; liquidity is $159K and 24h activity is $393. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Texans | 3.0% | — | $140K | active |
| New England Patriots | 3.8% | — | $175K | active |
| Denver Broncos | 3.8% | +0.05pp | $178K | active |
| Carolina Panthers | 1.4% | +0.2pp | $234K | active |
| Arizona Cardinals | 0.1% | — | $658K | active |
| Detroit Lions | 3.1% | — | $114K | active |
| Seattle Seahawks | 5.5% | — | $183K | active |
| Los Angeles Rams | 6.5% | — | $164K | active |
| Buffalo Bills | 10.5% | — | $161K | active |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 0.7% | +0.1pp | $127K | active |
| Dallas Cowboys | 2.3% | +0.1pp | $175K | active |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 11.4% | +0.2pp | $129K | active |
| San Francisco 49ers | 15.5% | +0.05pp | $171K | active |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 0.6% | — | $181K | active |
| Green Bay Packers | 2.5% | -0.05pp | $104K | active |
| Minnesota Vikings | 3.6% | +0.1pp | $98K | active |
| Indianapolis Colts | 0.3% | — | $178K | active |
| Chicago Bears | 5.5% | +0.8pp | $109K | active |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 0.1% | — | $296K | active |
| New York Jets | 0.1% | — | $546K | active |
| Washington Commanders | 0.3% | — | $141K | active |
| Miami Dolphins | 0.1% | — | $677K | active |
| Cleveland Browns | 0.5% | -0.05pp | $262K | active |
| Tennessee Titans | 0.1% | — | $613K | active |
| Atlanta Falcons | 0.7% | -0.05pp | $177K | active |
| New Orleans Saints | 0.3% | -0.1pp | $159K | active |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 6.1% | -0.05pp | $155K | active |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 3.8% | — | $95K | active |
| New York Giants | 0.6% | — | $146K | active |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 0.8% | -0.1pp | $145K | active |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 0.3% | — | $261K | active |
| Baltimore Ravens | 6.8% | +0.1pp | $114K | active |
Probability sum: 100.8% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)
Forward watch
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/. This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 1 Apr 2027, 03:59 UTC