Sport
Signal: MediumMarket data current
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship?
0%
Limited history-0.3pp
24h activity $150KCloses 1 Apr 2027
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Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 1% probability for this outcome, a -0.9pp change over 24 hours. Figures may lag the live source market.
Current implied probability
1%Recent probability movement (down 0.9pp) is weak, with acceptable but not deep market activity.
Signal: MediumCurrent
1%
24h Change
-0.9pp
7D Change
Under 7d tracked
30D Change
Under 30d tracked
Snapshots
100
What changed
A plain-language read of the stored probability path. It describes timing, not cause.
Over the tracked window: fell 0.7pp from 2% to 1%, gradually rather than in one jump.
2%
1 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC
2%
1 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC
2%
1 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC
2%
1 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC
1%
4 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC
1%
5 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability is mostly stable over 24h. The recorded move is down 0.9pp. Activity is moderate — the move is plausible but not fully confirmed by deep liquidity.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Commanders | 0.3% | -0.3pp | $131K | active |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 1.3% | +0.1pp | $114K | active |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 0.5% | -0.1pp | $218K | active |
| San Francisco 49ers | 9.8% | +1.0pp | $131K | active |
| Houston Texans | 0.9% | -0.9pp | $111K | active |
| New York Giants | 0.7% | +0.1pp | $162K | active |
| New England Patriots | 3.1% | +1.1pp | $129K | active |
| Buffalo Bills | 13.5% | — | $142K | active |
| Denver Broncos | 4.0% | -0.3pp | $87K | active |
| Los Angeles Rams | 12.5% | +1.0pp | $152K | active |
| Cleveland Browns | 0.6% | — | $393K | active |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 2.9% | -0.3pp | $121K | active |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 3.5% | -1.1pp | $71K | active |
| Miami Dolphins | 0.3% | — | $465K | active |
| Dallas Cowboys | 3.8% | +1.1pp | $75K | active |
| Carolina Panthers | 0.9% | +0.3pp | $234K | active |
| Seattle Seahawks | 7.5% | — | $156K | active |
| Baltimore Ravens | 6.8% | -1.0pp | $123K | active |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 5.0% | +0.4pp | $121K | active |
| Detroit Lions | 3.3% | -0.6pp | $96K | active |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 0.5% | -0.3pp | $109K | active |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 8.8% | +0.1pp | $87K | active |
| Indianapolis Colts | 0.9% | +0.2pp | $143K | active |
| Chicago Bears | 4.0% | +0.3pp | $101K | active |
| Atlanta Falcons | 0.7% | — | $163K | active |
| New York Jets | 0.5% | — | $351K | active |
| Minnesota Vikings | 3.1% | — | $97K | active |
| Tennessee Titans | 0.3% | — | $571K | active |
| Arizona Cardinals | 0.5% | — | $606K | active |
| New Orleans Saints | 1.1% | -0.1pp | $86K | active |
| Green Bay Packers | 1.4% | +0.1pp | $92K | active |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 0.6% | — | $130K | active |
Probability sum: 103.4% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)
Forward watch
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 1 Apr 2027, 03:59 UTC