Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals?
1%
Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 21% probability for this outcome. Figures may lag the live source market.
Current implied probability
21%24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.
Signal: MediumCurrent
21%
24h Change
0.0pp
7D Change
Under 7d tracked
30D Change
Under 30d tracked
Snapshots
100
What changed
A plain-language read of the stored probability path. It describes timing, not cause.
Stored-history window: rose 0.0pp from 21% to 21%; no single sharp inflection was detected.
21%
17 Sept 2026, 16:00 UTC
21%
17 Sept 2026, 17:00 UTC
21%
17 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC
21%
17 Sept 2026, 19:00 UTC
21%
17 Sept 2026, 20:00 UTC
21%
21 Sept 2026, 19:00 UTC
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Mavericks | 0.6% | — | $164K | active |
| Orlando Magic | 0.8% | — | $403K | active |
| Phoenix Suns | 0.5% | — | $140K | active |
| Indiana Pacers | 1.9% | — | $188K | active |
| Washington Wizards | 0.8% | — | $397K | active |
| San Antonio Spurs | 20.5% | — | $236K | active |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 11.2% | — | $149K | active |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 21.5% | — | $287K | active |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 5.2% | +0.05pp | $130K | active |
| Boston Celtics | 4.5% | — | $215K | active |
| New York Knicks | 11.5% | — | $147K | active |
| Miami Heat | 3.0% | — | $262K | active |
| Toronto Raptors | 2.9% | — | $282K | active |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 2.3% | — | $372K | active |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 0.3% | — | $513K | active |
| Detroit Pistons | 2.9% | — | $155K | active |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 0.1% | — | $608K | active |
| Los Angeles Clippers | 0.3% | — | $448K | active |
| Sacramento Kings | 0.1% | — | $597K | active |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 0.1% | — | $178K | active |
| Denver Nuggets | 3.0% | — | $285K | active |
| Brooklyn Nets | 0.1% | — | $599K | active |
| Golden State Warriors | 1.1% | — | $206K | active |
| Utah Jazz | 0.9% | — | $108K | active |
| Houston Rockets | 1.6% | — | $120K | active |
| Atlanta Hawks | 0.8% | — | $172K | active |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 1.9% | — | $203K | active |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 0.7% | -0.05pp | $241K | active |
| Charlotte Hornets | 0.5% | — | $196K | active |
| Chicago Bulls | 0.3% | — | $515K | active |
Probability sum: 101.9% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)
Forward watch
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 1 Jul 2027, 00:00 UTC