Finance
Signal: MediumMarket data current
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?
20%
Limited history-1.5pp
24h activity $735Closes 31 Dec 2026
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Current implied probability
51%Probability changed slightly over 24h. Signal quality is low because activity is not strong enough for a high-confidence read.
Signal: LowCurrent
51%
24h Change
+2.0pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability changed slightly over 24h. The recorded move is up 2.0pp. Signal quality is low because activity is not strong enough for a high-confidence read; liquidity is $2K and 24h activity is $800. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PayPal | 50.5% | +2.0pp | $2K | active |
| Viking Therapeutics | 20.0% | -1.5pp | $2K | active |
| Zoom Video Communications | 8.1% | -0.1pp | $7K | active |
| Nebius Group | 4.9% | — | $13K | active |
| Anthropic | 3.4% | -0.05pp | $15K | active |
| Lovable | 17.0% | — | $2K | active |
| Snapchat | 15.9% | +0.5pp | $1K | active |
| Ubisoft | 10.5% | -0.5pp | $3K | active |
| GitLab | 8.5% | — | $3K | active |
| Perplexity AI | 19.5% | — | $2K | active |
| BP | 4.2% | — | $10K | active |
| OpenAI | 3.5% | — | $13K | active |
| MGM Resorts | 37.5% | -1.0pp | $3K | active |
| Brown-Forman | 16.5% | — | $1K | active |
| Warner Bros. Discovery | 100.0% | +5.3pp | $0 | resolved |
| Pizza Hut | 100.0% | +4.0pp | $0 | resolved |
| Cursor | 100.0% | +11.9pp | $0 | resolved |
| Caesars Entertainment | 100.0% | +43.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| iRobot | 100.0% | +73.5pp | $0 | resolved |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its leadership; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
20%
8%
5%
3%
17%
16%