Sport
Signal: LowMarket data current
Will Jazz Chisholm be on the cover of MLB The Show 27?
13%
Limited history
Lifetime volume $4KCloses 1 Apr 2027
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Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 9% probability for this outcome. Figures may lag the live source market.
Current implied probability
9%24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
9%
24h Change
0.0pp
7D Change
Under 7d tracked
30D Change
Under 30d tracked
Snapshots
100
What changed
A plain-language read of the stored probability path. It describes timing, not cause.
Over the tracked window: rose 0.0pp from 9% to 9%, gradually rather than in one jump.
9%
30 Sept 2026, 12:00 UTC
9%
30 Sept 2026, 13:41 UTC
9%
30 Sept 2026, 14:00 UTC
9%
30 Sept 2026, 15:00 UTC
9%
30 Sept 2026, 16:00 UTC
9%
4 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jazz Chisholm | 12.5% | — | $29 | active |
| Bryan Woo | 15.5% | — | $26 | active |
| Christian Yelich | 12.5% | — | $27 | active |
| Shohei Ohtani | 11.5% | -1.0pp | $27 | active |
| Ben Rice | 13.0% | +0.5pp | $24 | active |
| Matt Olson | 18.0% | -2.0pp | $48 | active |
| Cam Schlittler | 51.0% | — | $30 | active |
| Bryce Harper | 8.5% | — | $15 | active |
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | 8.5% | — | $17 | active |
| Kyle Schwarber | 8.5% | — | $17 | active |
| Jordan Walker | 8.5% | — | $17 | active |
| Mike Trout | 8.5% | — | $17 | active |
| Munetaka Murakami | 8.5% | — | $17 | active |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 8.5% | — | $17 | active |
| Roman Anthony | 8.5% | — | $17 | active |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 8.5% | — | $17 | active |
| Mason Miller | 8.5% | — | $15 | active |
| Tarik Skubal | 8.5% | — | $15 | active |
| Aaron Judge | 8.5% | — | $15 | active |
| Nick Kurtz | 8.5% | — | $15 | active |
| Francisco Lindor | 8.5% | — | $15 | active |
| Cal Raleigh | 8.5% | — | $15 | active |
| Paul Skenes | 8.5% | — | $15 | active |
| Julio Rodriguez | 8.5% | — | $15 | active |
| Brice Turang | 8.5% | — | $15 | active |
| Chris Sale | 8.5% | — | $15 | active |
| Elly De La Cruz | 8.5% | — | $15 | active |
| Juan Soto | 8.5% | — | $15 | active |
| Yordan Alvarez | 50.0% | — | $3 | active |
| Junior Caminero | 50.0% | — | $3 | active |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.
Forward watch
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is announced as the cover athlete of Sony Interactive’s MLB The Show 27, or if the player is explicitly depicted on the cover. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only explicit depictions of the player or their likeness (including but not limited to: a player’s face, a clear depiction in uniform including logo and/or number) will be considered for this market’s resolution. All editions (e.g. standard, deluxe, bundle) of the game for console platforms slated for release by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET will count toward this market’s resolution. If MLB The Show 27 does not release, or it cannot be determined if a listed player is included on the cover by April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Sony Interactive and/or the player; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 1 Apr 2027, 03:59 UTC