Sport
Signal: LowMarket data current
Will Jazz Chisholm be on the cover of MLB The Show 27?
49%
Limited history-2.0pp
Lifetime volume $4KCloses —
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Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 51% probability for this outcome, a +1.0pp change over 24 hours. Figures may lag the live source market.
Current implied probability
51%Probability changed slightly over 24h. Signal quality is low because liquidity is limited.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
51%
24h Change
+1.0pp
7D Change
Under 7d tracked
30D Change
Under 30d tracked
Snapshots
40
What changed
A plain-language read of the stored probability path. It describes timing, not cause.
Sharpest stored-history interval: rose 3.5pp, from 50% to 53%, between 05:00 and 06:00 UTC.
50%
15 Sept 2026, 07:00 UTC
50%
15 Sept 2026, 08:00 UTC
50%
15 Sept 2026, 09:00 UTC
50%
15 Sept 2026, 10:00 UTC
53%
16 Sept 2026, 06:00 UTC
51%
16 Sept 2026, 22:00 UTC
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability changed slightly over 24h. The recorded move is up 1.0pp. Signal quality is low because liquidity is limited; liquidity is $6 and 24h activity is unavailable. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jazz Chisholm | 49.0% | -2.0pp | $15 | active |
| Bryan Woo | 50.0% | +1.0pp | $11 | active |
| Christian Yelich | 51.0% | +1.0pp | $8 | active |
| Shohei Ohtani | 51.0% | +1.0pp | $6 | active |
| Ben Rice | 50.5% | +0.5pp | $6 | active |
| Matt Olson | 48.5% | +0.5pp | $12 | active |
| Cam Schlittler | 49.5% | -0.5pp | $8 | active |
| Bryce Harper | 50.0% | — | $2 | active |
| Brice Turang | 50.0% | — | $2 | active |
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | 50.0% | — | $2 | active |
| Kyle Schwarber | 50.0% | — | $2 | active |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 50.0% | — | $2 | active |
| Mason Miller | 50.0% | — | $2 | active |
| Chris Sale | 50.0% | — | $2 | active |
| Francisco Lindor | 50.0% | — | $2 | active |
| Elly De La Cruz | 50.0% | — | $2 | active |
| Cal Raleigh | 50.0% | — | $2 | active |
| Jordan Walker | 50.0% | — | $2 | active |
| Paul Skenes | 50.0% | — | $2 | active |
| Yordan Alvarez | 50.0% | — | $2 | active |
| Tarik Skubal | 50.0% | +0.5pp | $2 | active |
| Juan Soto | 50.0% | — | $2 | active |
| Munetaka Murakami | 50.0% | — | $2 | active |
| Roman Anthony | 50.0% | — | $2 | active |
| Mike Trout | 50.0% | — | $2 | active |
| Aaron Judge | 50.0% | — | $2 | active |
| Junior Caminero | 50.0% | — | $2 | active |
| Nick Kurtz | 50.0% | — | $2 | active |
| Julio Rodriguez | 50.0% | — | $2 | active |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 50.0% | — | $2 | active |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.
Forward watch
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is announced as the cover athlete of Sony Interactive’s MLB The Show 27, or if the player is explicitly depicted on the cover. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only explicit depictions of the player or their likeness (including but not limited to: a player’s face, a clear depiction in uniform including logo and/or number) will be considered for this market’s resolution. All editions (e.g. standard, deluxe, bundle) of the game for console platforms slated for release by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET will count toward this market’s resolution. If MLB The Show 27 does not release, or it cannot be determined if a listed player is included on the cover by April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Sony Interactive and/or the player; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.