Sport
Signal: MediumMarket data current
Will Florida Gators win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
3%
Limited history-5.6pp
24h activity $10KCloses 26 Jan 2027
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Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 1% probability for this outcome, a -0.1pp change over 24 hours. Figures may lag the live source market.
Current implied probability
1%Recent probability movement (down 0.1pp) is weak, with acceptable but not deep market activity.
Signal: MediumCurrent
1%
24h Change
-0.1pp
7D Change
Under 7d tracked
30D Change
Under 30d tracked
Snapshots
100
What changed
A plain-language read of the stored probability path. It describes timing, not cause.
Over the tracked window: fell 0.1pp from 1% to 1%, gradually rather than in one jump.
1%
30 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTC
1%
30 Sept 2026, 01:00 UTC
1%
30 Sept 2026, 02:00 UTC
1%
30 Sept 2026, 03:00 UTC
1%
2 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
1%
4 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability is mostly stable over 24h. The recorded move is down 0.1pp. Activity is moderate — the move is plausible but not fully confirmed by deep liquidity.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Gators | 2.6% | -5.6pp | $10K | active |
| Georgia Bulldogs | 13.5% | -2.4pp | $12K | active |
| Texas Longhorns | 16.0% | +0.5pp | $105K | active |
| Oregon Ducks | 5.0% | -0.8pp | $10K | active |
| Mississippi Rebels | 1.4% | +0.4pp | $12K | active |
| Indiana Hoosiers | 8.5% | +1.6pp | $15K | active |
| Michigan Wolverines | 0.5% | +0.05pp | $20K | active |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 7.0% | +3.4pp | $12K | active |
| USC Trojans | 1.1% | +0.2pp | $11K | active |
| Miami Hurricanes | 9.8% | -3.5pp | $15K | active |
| Ohio State Buckeyes | 13.5% | — | $14K | active |
| Oklahoma Sooners | 0.5% | -0.1pp | $12K | active |
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 12.5% | — | $15K | active |
| LSU Tigers | 5.5% | +0.5pp | $15K | active |
| Texas A&M Aggies | 0.8% | -0.1pp | $19K | active |
| Texas Tech Red Raiders | 0.9% | -0.05pp | $10K | active |
Probability sum: 99.2% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)
Forward watch
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the national champion of the 2026-27 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the national champion of 2026-27 NCAA Football Division 1 season per the rules of NCAA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after February 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the NCAA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 26 Jan 2027, 00:00 UTC