Sport
Signal: MediumMarket data current
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?
27%
Limited history-1.0pp
24h activity $1KCloses 19 Dec 2026
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Current implied probability
1%24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
1%
24h Change
0.0pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami CF | 26.5% | -1.0pp | $15K | active |
| Sporting Kansas City | 0.3% | — | $34K | active |
| New York Red Bulls | 1.6% | — | $37K | active |
| Chicago Fire FC | 5.2% | — | $24K | active |
| Nashville SC | 12.9% | +0.5pp | $29K | active |
| Charlotte FC | 1.4% | — | $32K | active |
| Colorado Rapids | 0.5% | — | $31K | active |
| Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14.8% | — | $32K | active |
| Portland Timbers | 0.3% | — | $32K | active |
| FC Dallas | 1.6% | -0.05pp | $17K | active |
| Columbus Crew | 1.4% | — | $34K | active |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 1.9% | — | $28K | active |
| Los Angeles FC | 10.5% | -1.0pp | $20K | active |
| Philadelphia Union | 0.3% | — | $38K | active |
| Austin FC | 0.1% | — | $39K | active |
| Houston Dynamo FC | 2.3% | — | $26K | active |
| Real Salt Lake | 1.6% | — | $31K | active |
| New England Revolution | 1.4% | — | $24K | active |
| FC Cincinnati | 4.2% | — | $38K | active |
| Seattle Sounders FC | 4.0% | — | $26K | active |
| Orlando City SC | 1.4% | — | $26K | active |
| San Diego FC | 1.3% | — | $36K | active |
| New York City FC | 2.0% | — | $34K | active |
| Minnesota United FC | 0.8% | — | $33K | active |
| Atlanta United FC | 0.3% | — | $37K | active |
| St. Louis City SC | 0.8% | — | $27K | active |
| CF Montréal | 0.2% | — | $33K | active |
| Toronto FC | 0.3% | +0.05pp | $42K | active |
| LA Galaxy | 1.0% | +0.1pp | $37K | active |
| D.C. United | 0.7% | — | $34K | active |
Probability sum: 101.5% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 19 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
27%
0%
2%
5%
13%
0%