Crypto
LowMarket data current
APYX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
5%
Limited history
Loading the latest market intelligence…
Current
75%
24h Change
-1.1pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
22
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability changed modestly over 24h. The recorded move is down 1.1pp. Activity is moderate — the move is plausible but not fully confirmed by deep liquidity.
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Why this may have moved
Move attribution has not been checked for this market yet.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Apyx's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Apyx will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Apyx (https://x.com/apyx_fi) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 1 Jan 2028, 05:00 UTC
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
5%
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $50M | 74.7% | -1.1pp | $2K | active |
| $80M | 74.5% | +1.0pp | $4K | active |
| $800M | 28.5% | +0.5pp | $2K | active |
| $150M | 45.0% | -4.5pp | $231 | active |
| $100M | 65.5% | +5.0pp | $5K | active |
| $300M | 27.0% | +3.0pp | $260 | active |
Current implied probability
75%Probability changed modestly over 24h. Signal quality is low because activity is not strong enough for a high-confidence read.
Signal: Low66%
75%
25%
29%
27%
| $1B | 5.3% | -0.3pp | $4K | active |
| $200M | 25.0% | -6.0pp | $4K | active |
| $500M | 42.0% | — | $26 | active |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.