Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
52a75812-8688-4fe1-8ddd-0cc59cb34095
Probability
0%
24h movement
-39.0pp
Signal: Low
Lifetime volume $132.4M
Liq —
20 Jul 2026, 01:00 UTC
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Event hub
Compare market-implied probabilities for the tournament winner, finalists, leading goalscorers, and World Cup Final halftime performers.
Historical archive — resolved and finished outcomes are retained for research and citation, not current-event discovery.
Investigate pack
Lead mover: Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · 0% · -59.5pp · Lifetime volume $1.7M
Event-level context
A seven-day comparison of the stored probability path across related outcomes. This separates a broad repricing from an isolated move.
Related outcomes are moving in opposite directions, so the event-level picture is not a single market view.
France
24h snapshot
Spain
24h snapshot
England
24h snapshot
Seeded outright winner probabilities for the tournament.
52a75812-8688-4fe1-8ddd-0cc59cb34095
0%
-39.0pp
Lifetime volume $132.4M
Liq —
20 Jul 2026, 01:00 UTC
Argentina
24h snapshot
Argentina
24h snapshot
Spain
24h snapshot
France
24h snapshot
England
24h snapshot
Haaland
24h snapshot
Drake
24h snapshot
Showing the ten largest stored-window changes; the event contains 19 matched outcomes.
A coordinated move is evidence of shared repricing, not proof that the outcomes are independent, exhaustive, or correctly priced. Verify source rules and current prices before relying on the comparison.
30ffe922-93c1-4980-82a9-f98fffd2aad8
0%
-40.9pp
24h activity $14.6M
Liq $8.7M
20 Jul 2026, 01:00 UTC
51554b40-527d-4eb5-a085-22078974c99d
0%
-22.8pp
Lifetime volume $110.2M
Liq —
20 Jul 2026, 01:00 UTC
0012389d-9d07-4411-862c-fd954e7164b9
100%
+40.9pp
24h activity $26.7M
Liq $6.2M
20 Jul 2026, 01:00 UTC
Seeded markets for national teams to reach the final.
25a3c618-a867-422e-b84f-756bb8ec6461
0%
-59.5pp
Lifetime volume $1.7M
Liq —
15 Jul 2026, 23:01 UTC
214b1ec7-bf59-46d1-9745-837898a65f20
100%
+54.0pp
24h activity $376K
Liq $661K
15 Jul 2026, 23:01 UTC
8c032e93-e475-4353-b8f2-1b9fdae1c54e
0%
-54.5pp
24h activity $325K
Liq $442K
15 Jul 2026, 23:01 UTC
113e6ccf-78a8-485d-bb0f-d81b9d85880d
100%
+59.5pp
Lifetime volume $473K
Liq —
15 Jul 2026, 23:01 UTC
Seeded Golden Boot player markets.
f5d9ca58-44b2-46ae-b847-991db63d5386
100%
+6.5pp
24h activity $2.0M
Liq $1.5M
20 Jul 2026, 00:01 UTC
76b1dfc5-c97a-4925-905b-4c3e2bed732a
0%
-11.3pp
Lifetime volume $2.9M
Liq —
20 Jul 2026, 00:01 UTC
84fa3a9e-25a5-4ee6-a61d-ca4e30d09f3c
0%
-0.8pp
24h activity $766
Liq —
20 Jul 2026, 00:01 UTC
Market-implied probabilities for artists to appear in the 2026 World Cup Final halftime show.
3a95783d-4bde-43d0-81a6-37d30db9f28e
100%
+1.5pp
24h activity $53K
Liq —
20 Jul 2026, 02:00 UTC
4a38b401-e83b-46d8-b0d9-7e25e26a06ac
100%
+0.7pp
24h activity $2K
Liq —
20 Jul 2026, 02:00 UTC
ed3e7041-d7f7-4b91-a777-c5e45ce04feb
100%
+0.6pp
24h activity $1K
Liq $0
20 Jul 2026, 02:00 UTC
f088e32c-6598-4b3a-a18f-c5718eeac535
0%
-0.1pp
Lifetime volume $11K
Liq $0
20 Jul 2026, 02:00 UTC
582d8e0c-c540-400b-b8f1-45e59c1c36b8
0%
-0.8pp
24h activity $2K
Liq $0
20 Jul 2026, 02:00 UTC
bdcd2221-9613-468b-bb9e-03e50baaeadb
0%
-2.1pp
24h activity $3K
Liq —
20 Jul 2026, 02:00 UTC
526fdfcc-4493-4539-b9b6-6e17a4626c01
100%
+0.8pp
24h activity $5K
Liq $0
20 Jul 2026, 02:00 UTC
91666b3f-15e4-40e5-8722-b408f2948dab
0%
-9.9pp
24h activity $4K
Liq —
20 Jul 2026, 02:00 UTC