Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only 0.0pp.
High activity
57%
Vol $107KCloses 31 Dec 2027
Category
Tech/AI
Product launches, regulation, and adoption forecasts in probability terms.
372 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 24 of 24 matching tech/ai markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +3.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
39%
-3.5ppVol $32KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Bad Bunny release an album in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +2.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
42%
+2.0ppVol $6KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
HighFresh
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Included because probability moved -2.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
59%
-2.0ppVol $4KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Justin Bieber release an album in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +5.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
58%
-5.0ppVol $3KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
MediumFresh
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
Included because probability moved -1.5pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
37%
-1.5ppVol $966Closes 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
MediumFresh
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
40%
Vol $608Closes 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +5.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
41%
-5.5ppVol $518Closes 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Travis Scott release an album in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +10.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
52%
+10.0ppVol $475Closes 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +9.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
37%
+9.0ppVol $457Closes 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Sabrina Carpenter release an album in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +4.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
47%
+4.5ppVol $208Closes 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will NewJeans release a song in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +5.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
49%
+5.0ppVol $149Closes 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +2.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
61%
-2.5ppVol $94Closes 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Taylor Swift release an album in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +1.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
55%
-1.5ppVol $90Closes 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +10.4pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
64%
+10.4ppVol $55Closes 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
MediumFresh
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
48%
Vol $25Closes 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Twice release a song in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +2.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
57%
+2.0ppVol $15Closes 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +13.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
41%
-13.0ppVol $13Closes 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Rihanna release an album in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +22.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
42%
+22.5ppVol $12Closes 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Low-confidence: move is +3.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
47%
-3.5ppVol $5Closes 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by July 31, 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
54%
Vol $0Closes 31 Jul 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Project Helix release by December 31, 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +4.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
41%
-4.5ppVol $0Closes 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Lil Uzi Vert release an album in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +8.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
58%
+8.0ppVol $0Closes 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will The Weekend release an album in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
48%
Vol $0Closes 31 Dec 2026
Avg 24h move 2.9pp66 markets with notable movementCombined activity $1.2M
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