Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.6pp).
Stable consensus
10%
-0.6ppVol $4KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Category
Tech/AI
Product launches, regulation, and adoption forecasts in probability terms.
372 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 36 of 179 matching tech/ai markets.
Showing 73-108 of 179 markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?
Low-confidence: move is +1.8pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
6%
+1.8ppVol $4KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
MediumFresh
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
1%
+0.05ppVol $4KCloses —
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $75B and $100B at market close on IPO day?
Low-confidence: move is +1.8pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
8%
-1.8ppVol $4KCloses 31 Dec 2027
Tech/AI
HighFresh
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Included because probability moved -2.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
59%
-2.0ppVol $4KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Eminem release an album in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +9.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
51%
+9.5ppVol $3KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
2%
Vol $3KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
MediumFresh
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $3KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Justin Bieber release an album in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +2.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
65%
+2.0ppVol $3KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
HighFresh
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Included because probability moved -8.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
81%
-8.0ppVol $3KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
4%
Vol $3KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
MediumFresh
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
95%
Vol $3KCloses 13 Jul 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Lil Uzi Vert release a new song in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +5.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
88%
+5.0ppVol $2KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +1.1pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
98%
-1.1ppVol $2KCloses 24 Jul 2026
Tech/AI
LowStale data
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
+0.05ppVol $2KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
HighFresh
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Included because probability moved -2.3pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
16%
-2.3ppVol $2KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowStale data
Will Meta acquire TikTok?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
Vol $2KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
MediumFresh
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $2KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
MediumFresh
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.6pp).
Stable consensus
3%
+0.6ppVol $2KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
MediumFresh
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
95%
-0.05ppVol $2KCloses 15 Jul 2026
Tech/AI
HighFresh
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Included because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
17%
+1.0ppVol $2KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
MediumFresh
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Included because probability moved +5.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
88%
+5.0ppVol $2KCloses 9 Jul 2026
Tech/AI
MediumFresh
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
25%
+0.5ppVol $2KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowStale data
Will Amazon acquire TikTok?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
Vol $2KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowStale data
Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
Vol $1KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
MediumFresh
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
2%
-0.1ppVol $1KCloses —
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Charli XCX release a new original album by July 31?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
97%
-0.5ppVol $1KCloses 31 Jul 2026
Tech/AI
MediumFresh
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.3pp).
Stable consensus
96%
+0.3ppVol $1KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
7%
+0.05ppVol $1KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
MediumFresh
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $1KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
MediumFresh
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $1KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +2.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
16%
-2.0ppVol $955Closes 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
LowFresh
Will Jay Z release an album in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +4.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
72%
-4.5ppVol $928Closes 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
HighFresh
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
Included because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
13%
+1.0ppVol $861Closes 31 Dec 2026
Tech/AI
MediumFresh
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
10%
Vol $759Closes 30 Sept 2026
Tech/AI
MediumFresh
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
37%
Vol $729Closes 31 Dec 2026
Avg 24h move 2.8pp65 markets with notable movementCombined activity $6.8M
Back to homepage analytics