Sport
HighFresh
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved -2.9pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
4%
-2.9ppVol $55KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Category
Sport
Tournament and season outcome probability movement across major leagues.
2,957 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 36 of 360 matching sport markets.
Showing 73-108 of 360 markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Sport
HighFresh
Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved -1.2pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
5%
-1.2ppVol $54KCloses —
Sport
MediumFresh
Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
0%
+0.1ppVol $51KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Lorenzo Sonego be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
0%
Vol $50KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?
Included because probability moved +1.1pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
3%
+1.1ppVol $48KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
1%
+0.05ppVol $47KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.2pp).
Stable consensus
0%
+0.2ppVol $46KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Included because probability moved -2.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
19%
-2.0ppVol $46KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.1ppVol $46KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only 0.0pp.
High activity
11%
Vol $46KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?
Included because probability moved +1.9pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
4%
+1.9ppVol $45KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumStale data
Will Jakub Menšík be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-1.7ppVol $45KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will LeBron James play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.3pp).
Stable consensus
0%
+0.3ppVol $43KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Maria Sakkari be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
0%
Vol $42KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.2pp).
Stable consensus
0%
+0.2ppVol $42KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Grigor Dimitrov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only +0.6pp.
High activity
2%
+0.6ppVol $41KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Tommy Paul be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
0%
-1.3ppVol $41KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.3pp).
Stable consensus
1%
+0.3ppVol $39KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only -0.1pp.
High activity
15%
-0.1ppVol $39KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will a player representing Croatia be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
Vol $38KCloses 20 Aug 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Félix Auger-Aliassime be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Included because probability moved +1.1pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
3%
+1.1ppVol $37KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
0%
-0.1ppVol $36KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Gabriel Diallo be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
Vol $36KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Included because probability moved +5.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
60%
+5.0ppVol $36KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
1%
+0.1ppVol $36KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only -0.1pp.
High activity
3%
-0.1ppVol $35KCloses —
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only +0.8pp.
High activity
5%
+0.8ppVol $35KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved +2.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
66%
+2.5ppVol $35KCloses —
Sport
MediumFresh
Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $34KCloses 1 Nov 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only -0.5pp.
High activity
3%
-0.5ppVol $34KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
Vol $34KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.1ppVol $33KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Stefanos Tsitsipas be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
+0.05ppVol $33KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Ugo Humbert be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-0.2ppVol $32KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only 0.0pp.
High activity
55%
Vol $30KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.1ppVol $29KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Avg 24h move 3.1pp451 markets with notable movementCombined activity $80.2M
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