Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only +0.5pp.
High activity
55%
+0.5ppCategory
Tournament and season outcome probability movement across major leagues.
2,957 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 36 of 360 matching sport markets.
Showing 109-144 of 360 markets.
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only +0.5pp.
High activity
55%
+0.5ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.05ppResolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
1%
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.1ppExcluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
1%
-0.1ppResolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
0%
+0.05ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only +0.5pp.
High activity
4%
+0.5ppIncluded because probability moved -5.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
38%
-5.5ppIncluded as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only -0.8pp.
High activity
8%
-0.8ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.1ppIncluded because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
14%
+1.0ppIncluded because probability moved +1.7pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
5%
+1.7ppExcluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-0.1ppExcluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
1%
+0.9ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
1%
+0.5ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.1ppExcluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only -0.5pp.
High activity
27%
-0.5ppIncluded because probability moved +2.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
28%
+2.0ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-0.1ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only -0.6pp.
High activity
8%
-0.6ppIncluded because probability moved +2.4pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
6%
+2.4ppExcluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
1%
+0.1ppIncluded as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only +0.3pp.
High activity
2%
+0.3ppIncluded as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only +0.05pp.
High activity
1%
+0.05pp