Sport
HighFresh
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved -5.3pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
39%
-5.3ppVol $214KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Category
Sport
Tournament and season outcome probability movement across major leagues.
2,957 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 36 of 78 matching sport markets.
Showing 1-36 of 78 markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Sport
HighFresh
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved +8.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
48%
+8.5ppVol $141KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Included because probability moved +5.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
60%
+5.0ppVol $36KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved -5.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
38%
-5.5ppVol $25KCloses 20 Aug 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Over $180B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +9.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
60%
+9.5ppVol $21KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Sport
HighFresh
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved +9.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
50%
+9.0ppVol $17KCloses 20 Aug 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Maxx Crosby play for Pittsburgh Steelers next?
Low-confidence: move is +5.2pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
37%
-5.2ppVol $7KCloses 1 Sept 2026
Sport
LowFresh
New MLB CBA by Dec. 1?
Low-confidence: move is +35.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
49%
+35.0ppVol $6KCloses 1 Dec 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Low-confidence: move is +37.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
48%
-37.5ppVol $5KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +5.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
49%
+5.0ppVol $5KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Team Falcons win an S tier event in 2026?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
57%
+18.5ppVol $4KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +10.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
53%
+10.5ppVol $4KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Aljaž Ivačič win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year?
Low-confidence: move is +6.7pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
40%
+6.7ppVol $4KCloses 22 Nov 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?
Low-confidence: move is +14.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
60%
+14.0ppVol $4KCloses 19 Dec 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Zack Wheeler win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?
Low-confidence: move is +3.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
41%
-3.0ppVol $3KCloses 19 Dec 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Arman Tsarukyan become UFC champion in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +20.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
42%
+20.5ppVol $3KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Mike Locksley out as Maryland HC in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +5.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
45%
-5.0ppVol $2KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Sport
HighFresh
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
Included because probability moved +5.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
46%
+5.0ppVol $2KCloses 1 Nov 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Viking win Norway Eliteserien?
Low-confidence: move is +12.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
59%
+12.0ppVol $2KCloses 20 Dec 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Ciryl Gane become UFC champion in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +5.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
40%
-5.5ppVol $2KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Merab Dvalishvili become UFC champion in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +29.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
47%
+29.5ppVol $1KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2026 AFC North?
Low-confidence: move is +11.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
45%
+11.5ppVol $465Closes 4 Jan 2027
Sport
LowFresh
Will George Pickens play for Baltimore Ravens in 2026-27?
Low-confidence: move is +5.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
37%
-5.5ppVol $408Closes 1 Sept 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Los Angeles Rams in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Low-confidence: move is +5.4pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
36%
-5.4ppVol $404Closes 15 Sept 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for CF Montréal next?
Low-confidence: move is +7.7pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
37%
-7.7ppVol $346Closes 31 Aug 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Dayne St. Clair win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year?
Low-confidence: move is +4.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
40%
+4.5ppVol $344Closes 22 Nov 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Low-confidence: move is +21.4pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
45%
+21.4ppVol $344Closes 15 Sept 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Indianapolis Colts in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Low-confidence: move is +8.2pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
46%
+8.2ppVol $340Closes 15 Sept 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Buffalo Bills in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Low-confidence: move is +34.9pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
35%
+34.9ppVol $304Closes 15 Sept 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title?
Low-confidence: move is +7.3pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
37%
-7.3ppVol $302Closes 11 Oct 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Columbus Crew next?
Low-confidence: move is +36.8pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
40%
+36.8ppVol $284Closes 31 Aug 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
Low-confidence: move is +5.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
58%
-5.5ppVol $253Closes 28 Sept 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Sporting Kansas City next?
Low-confidence: move is +5.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
46%
+5.5ppVol $186Closes 31 Aug 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 TOUR Championship?
Low-confidence: move is +3.3pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
48%
+3.3ppVol $185Closes 31 Aug 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Adam Scott win the 2026 TOUR Championship?
Low-confidence: move is +3.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
41%
-3.0ppVol $174Closes 31 Aug 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will George Pickens play for Minnesota Vikings in 2026-27?
Low-confidence: move is +3.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
45%
+3.0ppVol $165Closes 1 Sept 2026
Avg 24h move 3.1pp451 markets with notable movementCombined activity $4.5M
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