Sport
HighFresh
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved -5.3pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
39%
-5.3ppVol $214KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Category
Sport
Tournament and season outcome probability movement across major leagues.
2,957 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 8 of 8 matching sport markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Sport
HighFresh
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved +8.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
48%
+8.5ppVol $141KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only +0.3pp.
High activity
41%
+0.3ppVol $105KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only -0.5pp.
High activity
39%
-0.5ppVol $72KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Included because probability moved +5.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
60%
+5.0ppVol $36KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only 0.0pp.
High activity
55%
Vol $30KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved -5.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
38%
-5.5ppVol $25KCloses 20 Aug 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved +9.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
50%
+9.0ppVol $17KCloses 20 Aug 2026
Avg 24h move 3.1pp451 markets with notable movementCombined activity $6.0M
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