Crypto
LowFresh
Over $200M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +13.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
51%
-13.0ppVol $62KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Category
Crypto
Market-implied probability analytics for digital assets, regulation, and milestone events.
922 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 36 of 53 matching crypto markets.
Showing 1-36 of 53 markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Crypto
LowFresh
Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Low-confidence: move is +4.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
47%
-4.5ppVol $44KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
LowFresh
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +4.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
47%
-4.0ppVol $41KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
LowFresh
Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Low-confidence: move is +3.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
46%
-3.0ppVol $19KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
HighFresh
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Included because probability moved +10.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
51%
+10.5ppVol $17KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
LowFresh
Will QFEX launch a token by September 30, 2027?
Low-confidence: move is +5.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
39%
-5.5ppVol $16KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
LowFresh
Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?
Low-confidence: move is +4.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
57%
+4.0ppVol $13KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
LowFresh
Unit FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Low-confidence: move is +8.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
38%
-8.0ppVol $6KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
LowFresh
MagicBlock FDV above $60M one day after launch?
Low-confidence: move is +9.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
43%
+9.5ppVol $5KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
LowFresh
Dreamcash FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Low-confidence: move is +4.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
47%
-4.5ppVol $4KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
LowFresh
Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0010 by December 31, 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +3.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
60%
-3.0ppVol $3KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
HighFresh
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Included because probability moved -5.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
52%
-5.5ppVol $3KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
MediumStale data
Cap FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
52%
+25.0ppVol $3KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
LowFresh
Over 12 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?
Low-confidence: move is +7.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
35%
+7.5ppVol $3KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
LowFresh
Tabi FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Low-confidence: move is +5.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
40%
+5.5ppVol $2KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
LowFresh
Will SBF appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
Low-confidence: move is +7.3pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
42%
+7.3ppVol $2KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
LowFresh
Over 8 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?
Low-confidence: move is +16.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
37%
-16.0ppVol $2KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
LowFresh
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +6.3pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
62%
-6.3ppVol $2KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
MediumStale data
Cap FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
36%
+19.0ppVol $2KCloses 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
LowFresh
Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +7.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
46%
-7.5ppVol $1KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
LowFresh
Will CryptoPunks floor price dip to 20 ETH before 2027?
Low-confidence: move is +8.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
49%
+8.0ppVol $1KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
LowFresh
Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +6.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
46%
+6.5ppVol $1KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
LowFresh
Noble FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Low-confidence: move is +7.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
59%
-7.5ppVol $753Closes 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
LowFresh
Will Plasma reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +5.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
48%
+5.0ppVol $619Closes —
Crypto
LowFresh
Hotstuff FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Low-confidence: move is +14.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
52%
+14.0ppVol $304Closes 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
LowFresh
Hotstuff FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Low-confidence: move is +43.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
50%
+43.5ppVol $295Closes 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
LowFresh
Will the NYSE choose Ethereum?
Low-confidence: move is +12.9pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
37%
+12.9ppVol $275Closes 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
LowFresh
Decibel FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Low-confidence: move is +12.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
54%
+12.0ppVol $273Closes 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
MediumFresh
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?
Included because probability moved -5.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
48%
-5.0ppVol $230Closes 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
LowFresh
Will the NYSE develop its own chain?
Low-confidence: move is +12.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
40%
+12.5ppVol $204Closes 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
LowFresh
Will C3.ai announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Low-confidence: move is +3.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
48%
+3.0ppVol $200Closes 31 Dec 2026
Crypto
LowFresh
Hotstuff FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Low-confidence: move is +4.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
47%
-4.5ppVol $170Closes 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
LowFresh
Multipli.fi FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Low-confidence: move is +7.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
60%
+7.5ppVol $153Closes 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
LowFresh
SlingshotDAO FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Low-confidence: move is +6.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
53%
+6.0ppVol $146Closes 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
LowFresh
Will edgeX reach $2.50 before 2027?
Low-confidence: move is +6.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
48%
+6.0ppVol $126Closes 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
LowFresh
MagicBlock FDV above $40M one day after launch?
Low-confidence: move is +4.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
54%
+4.0ppVol $105Closes 1 Jan 2027
Avg 24h move 3.4pp285 markets with notable movementCombined activity $3.8M
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