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EventAlpha is an independent information and research product, not a trading platform. It is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by Polymarket. EventAlpha uses third-party market data that may be delayed, incomplete, or unavailable. Nothing shown is financial advice or a guarantee of any outcome.

Markets

Tracked markets

Read-only market intelligence from stored Polymarket data. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.

Latest database refresh 18 Aug 2026, 03:00 UTC

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Toss-ups Big movers High activity Closing soon Near-certain

Showing 4 of 4 matching markets.

Active markets

Ranked by absolute 24h probability movement.

Tech/AI

Signal: MediumMarket data current

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Included because probability moved -8.5pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.

Meaningful move

85%

↘-8.5pp

24h activity $4KCloses 31 Dec 2026

Tech/AI

Signal: MediumMarket data current

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Included because probability moved +9.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.

Meaningful move

77%

↗+9.0pp

24h activity $5KCloses 31 Dec 2027

Tech/AI

Signal: HighMarket data current

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

Included because probability moved +1.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.

Meaningful move

↗+1.5pp

24h activity $13KCloses 31 Aug 2026

Tech/AI

Signal: MediumMarket data current

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

Included because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.

Meaningful move

20%

↗+1.0pp

24h activity $1KCloses 31 Dec 2026