Politics
Signal: MediumMarket data current
Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
1%
Limited history+0.5pp
24h activity $1KCloses 31 Dec 2026
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Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 0% probability for this outcome. Figures may lag the live source market.
Current implied probability
0%24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
0%
24h Change
0.0pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
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24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Simion | 0.7% | +0.5pp | $21K | active |
| Alexandru Nazare | 31.8% | -1.8pp | $49K | active |
| Eugen Tomac | 6.3% | — | $23K | active |
| Alexandru Rafila | 0.1% | — | $18K | active |
| Ilie Bolojan | 3.0% | -0.1pp | $18K | active |
| Traian Basescu | 0.4% | — | $21K | active |
| Anca Dragu | 0.2% | -0.05pp | $21K | active |
| Vasile Dîncu | 0.1% | — | $20K | active |
| Dominic Fritz | 0.1% | — | $15K | active |
| Lucian Croitoru | 0.3% | — | $26K | active |
| Victor Ponta | 0.1% | — | $22K | active |
| Cătălin Drulă | 0.1% | — | $30K | active |
| Șerban Matei | 0.1% | — | $20K | active |
| Alexandru Rogobete | 0.1% | — | $20K | active |
| Delia Velculescu | 0.1% | — | $20K | active |
| Emil Boc | 0.1% | — | $19K | active |
| Sorin Grindeanu | 20.8% | +0.4pp | $30K | active |
| Adrian Veștea | 0.1% | — | $25K | active |
| Cătălin Predoiu | 0.3% | — | $28K | active |
| Radu Burnete | 1.8% | -0.3pp | $18K | active |
| Hunor Kelemen | 0.3% | — | $27K | active |
| Elena Lasconi | 0.1% | — | $19K | active |
| Dan Motreanu | 0.3% | — | $22K | active |
| Dragoș Pîslaru | 0.3% | — | $22K | active |
| Ionuț Dumitru | 0.1% | — | $19K | active |
| Sebastian Burduja | 0.1% | — | $17K | active |
| Dacian Cioloș | 0.1% | — | $20K | active |
| Calin Georgescu | 0.1% | — | $21K | active |
| Nicolae Ciucă | 0.1% | — | $18K | active |
| Marcel Ciolacu | 0.1% | — | $28K | active |
| Lucian Isar | 0.1% | — | $20K | active |
| Mircea Geoană | 0.1% | — | $20K | active |
| Mugur Isărescu | 0.1% | — | $24K | active |
| Ciprian Ciucu | 0.1% | — | $21K | active |
| Raluca Turcan | 0.1% | — | $15K | active |
| Siegfried Mureșan | 1.4% | -0.2pp | $17K | active |
Probability sum: 70.6% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
1%
32%
6%
0%
3%
0%