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Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 0% probability for this outcome. Figures may lag the live source market.
Final recorded probability
0%Final outcome: No
This market is final. The figures below are retained as a historical record and are excluded from live rankings and signals.
Final / last recorded
0%
24h Change
-40.5pp
7D Change
Under 7d tracked
30D Change
Under 30d tracked
Snapshots
100
What changed
A plain-language read of the stored probability path. It describes timing, not cause.
Sharpest move: fell 40.0pp, from 49% to 9%, between 10:00 and 11:00 UTC.
50%
11 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
50%
11 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC
50%
11 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC
50%
11 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
9%
12 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
0%
15 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
Final or last-recorded Polymarket figures retained for historical reference.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Historical probability path. Live movement analysis is not shown for this market status.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Bolivia LFPB. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Bolivia LFPB per the rules of Bolivia LFPB (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Bolivia LFPB; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 1 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indipendiente Petrolero | 49.5% | — | $1 | active |
| Real Potosí | 49.5% | — | $1 | active |
| Bolívar | 34.5% | — | $2 | active |
| The Strongest | 29.5% | — | $11 | active |
| Always Ready | 29.5% | — | $11 | active |
| Bulo Bulo | 47.0% | — | $2 | active |
| Aurora | 49.5% | — | $1 | active |
| Oriente Petrolero | 49.5% | — | $1 | active |
| Nacional Potosí | 49.5% | — | $1 | active |
| Blooming | 49.5% | — | $1 | active |
| Real Oruro | 49.5% | — | $1 | active |
| Guabirá | 49.5% | — | $1 | active |
| Real Tomayapo | 0.0% | -47.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| ABB | 0.0% | -40.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| GV San Jose | 0.0% | -49.0pp | $0 | resolved |
| Universitario de Vinto | 0.0% | -40.5pp | $0 | resolved |
Probability sum: 536.5% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)