Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?
1%
Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 7% probability for this outcome, a -1.0pp change over 24 hours. Figures may lag the live source market.
Current implied probability
7%Probability is barely changed (down 1.0pp). High liquidity supports the reading, but this is not a meaningful move.
Signal: HighCurrent
7%
24h Change
-1.0pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability changed slightly over 24h. The recorded move is down 1.0pp. Liquidity is strong, but the shift is too small to treat as a meaningful consensus change.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Raiders | 0.9% | +0.6pp | $160K | active |
| New York Giants | 2.6% | +1.7pp | $136K | active |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 3.4% | +0.6pp | $163K | active |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 2.5% | -1.9pp | $105K | active |
| Green Bay Packers | 2.5% | -0.7pp | $113K | active |
| Baltimore Ravens | 8.9% | +2.5pp | $94K | active |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 4.8% | +0.5pp | $125K | active |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 4.8% | -0.7pp | $125K | active |
| Minnesota Vikings | 2.1% | +0.2pp | $96K | active |
| Dallas Cowboys | 4.3% | -0.9pp | $131K | active |
| Buffalo Bills | 9.5% | +1.0pp | $187K | active |
| New York Jets | 0.5% | -0.1pp | $362K | active |
| San Francisco 49ers | 7.2% | +0.4pp | $154K | active |
| Tennessee Titans | 0.3% | -0.1pp | $467K | active |
| New Orleans Saints | 0.7% | +0.1pp | $150K | active |
| Denver Broncos | 4.3% | -0.6pp | $178K | active |
| Houston Texans | 4.0% | -0.4pp | $116K | active |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 4.0% | -0.6pp | $97K | active |
| Chicago Bears | 6.0% | +1.3pp | $199K | active |
| Arizona Cardinals | 0.5% | — | $402K | active |
| Los Angeles Rams | 11.5% | — | $170K | active |
| Indianapolis Colts | 0.9% | -0.1pp | $167K | active |
| Washington Commanders | 0.6% | -0.1pp | $128K | active |
| Carolina Panthers | 0.6% | -0.05pp | $245K | active |
| Detroit Lions | 4.2% | -0.3pp | $114K | active |
| Miami Dolphins | 0.5% | — | $528K | active |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 1.1% | — | $166K | active |
| Atlanta Falcons | 0.3% | -0.1pp | $264K | active |
| Seattle Seahawks | 6.5% | -1.0pp | $170K | active |
| New England Patriots | 3.3% | -0.3pp | $165K | active |
| Cleveland Browns | 0.5% | — | $468K | active |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 1.1% | +0.2pp | $116K | active |
Probability sum: 104.8% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 31 Mar 2027, 23:55 UTC
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
1%
3%
3%
3%
3%
9%