Sport
Signal: MediumMarket data current
Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?
5%
Limited history
24h activity $2KCloses 1 Jul 2027
Loading the latest market intelligence…
Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 7% probability for this outcome, a -0.7pp change over 24 hours. Figures may lag the live source market.
Current implied probability
7%Probability is mostly stable over 24h. Signal quality is low because market activity is limited.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
7%
24h Change
-0.7pp
7D Change
Under 7d tracked
30D Change
Under 30d tracked
Snapshots
100
What changed
A plain-language read of the stored probability path. It describes timing, not cause.
Over the tracked window: rose 0.4pp from 6% to 7%, gradually rather than in one jump.
6%
2 Nov 2026, 02:00 UTC
6%
2 Nov 2026, 03:00 UTC
6%
2 Nov 2026, 04:00 UTC
6%
2 Nov 2026, 05:00 UTC
7%
5 Nov 2026, 04:00 UTC
7%
6 Nov 2026, 05:00 UTC
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability is mostly stable over 24h. The recorded move is down 0.7pp. Signal quality is low because market activity is limited; liquidity is $47K and 24h activity is $56. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montreal Canadiens | 4.8% | — | $56K | active |
| Winnipeg Jets | 0.3% | +0.1pp | $65K | active |
| Anaheim Ducks | 1.3% | — | $58K | active |
| Ottawa Senators | 3.0% | — | $48K | active |
| Utah Mammoth | 3.4% | +0.05pp | $33K | active |
| Columbus Blue Jackets | 1.1% | — | $42K | active |
| Seattle Kraken | 0.5% | — | $59K | active |
| Dallas Stars | 5.5% | — | $73K | active |
| New Jersey Devils | 6.8% | -0.7pp | $47K | active |
| Edmonton Oilers | 11.5% | — | $75K | active |
| New York Rangers | 1.0% | -0.05pp | $46K | active |
| Minnesota Wild | 7.7% | +0.1pp | $39K | active |
| Carolina Hurricanes | 11.5% | — | $86K | active |
| Washington Capitals | 4.5% | +0.05pp | $52K | active |
| Boston Bruins | 2.9% | -0.1pp | $53K | active |
| Calgary Flames | 0.1% | — | $49K | active |
| Vegas Golden Knights | 7.5% | — | $86K | active |
| Colorado Avalanche | 9.5% | — | $98K | active |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 3.0% | — | $83K | active |
| Los Angeles Kings | 1.9% | — | $57K | active |
| Florida Panthers | 7.0% | — | $68K | active |
| Vancouver Canucks | 0.1% | — | $57K | active |
| Pittsburgh Penguins | 1.6% | — | $59K | active |
| Buffalo Sabres | 1.6% | — | $53K | active |
| Detroit Red Wings | 0.1% | — | $59K | active |
| St. Louis Blues | 0.6% | — | $41K | active |
| San Jose Sharks | 1.4% | -0.1pp | $48K | active |
| Philadelphia Flyers | 0.6% | — | $50K | active |
| Chicago Blackhawks | 0.3% | — | $50K | active |
| Nashville Predators | 0.6% | +0.05pp | $43K | active |
| New York Islanders | 0.6% | — | $60K | active |
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 4.5% | — | $56K | active |
Probability sum: 106.8% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)
Forward watch
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NHL for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of NHL for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NHL (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 1 Jul 2027, 03:59 UTC