Sport
Signal: MediumMarket data current
Will the Washington Commanders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
30%
Limited history-2.0pp
24h activity $763Closes 5 Jan 2027
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Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 57% probability for this outcome, a +0.5pp change over 24 hours. Figures may lag the live source market.
Current implied probability
57%Probability is mostly stable over 24h. Signal quality is low because market activity is limited.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
57%
24h Change
+0.5pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability is mostly stable over 24h. The recorded move is up 0.5pp. Signal quality is low because market activity is limited; liquidity is $13K and 24h activity is $4. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Commanders | 30.0% | -2.0pp | $12K | active |
| Tennessee Titans | 19.5% | — | $2K | active |
| Atlanta Falcons | 26.5% | — | $9K | active |
| Dallas Cowboys | 53.5% | — | $10K | active |
| Houston Texans | 64.0% | — | $11K | active |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 62.0% | — | $16K | active |
| Denver Broncos | 57.0% | +0.5pp | $13K | active |
| San Francisco 49ers | 56.5% | — | $11K | active |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 60.0% | — | $15K | active |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 61.5% | — | $16K | active |
| New England Patriots | 63.0% | — | $5K | active |
| Detroit Lions | 65.5% | — | $18K | active |
| Seattle Seahawks | 67.5% | +0.5pp | $14K | active |
| Baltimore Ravens | 75.0% | — | $9K | active |
| Buffalo Bills | 75.0% | — | $26K | active |
| Los Angeles Rams | 79.5% | — | $18K | active |
| Miami Dolphins | 4.4% | -0.05pp | $1K | active |
| New Orleans Saints | 31.5% | — | $17K | active |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 50.5% | — | $11K | active |
| Green Bay Packers | 51.0% | — | $13K | active |
| Arizona Cardinals | 3.9% | — | $4K | active |
| Minnesota Vikings | 39.0% | — | $6K | active |
| Chicago Bears | 46.0% | — | $12K | active |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 42.0% | — | $13K | active |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 62.0% | — | $11K | active |
| New York Jets | 8.5% | — | $2K | active |
| New York Giants | 26.0% | — | $9K | active |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 11.5% | — | $3K | active |
| Carolina Panthers | 27.0% | — | $15K | active |
| Indianapolis Colts | 36.0% | — | $10K | active |
| Cleveland Browns | 11.0% | — | $2K | active |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 37.0% | — | $18K | active |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a spot in the 2026-27 NFL Playoffs per the rules of the NFL. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026-27 NFL Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Any tiebreaker will not be considered part of the NFL Playoffs. If the 2026-27 NFL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed to begin after January 24, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the full 14-team playoff field has not been officially confirmed by the NFL within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and/or the clinching team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 5 Jan 2027, 00:00 UTC
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
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27%
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62%