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Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 100% probability for this outcome. Figures may lag the live source market.
Last recorded probability
100%Trading is no longer treated as active while the final result is pending. The figures below are historical and excluded from live rankings and signals.
Final / last recorded
100%
24h Change
+13.7pp
7D Change
Under 7d tracked
30D Change
Under 30d tracked
Snapshots
100
What changed
A plain-language read of the stored probability path. It describes timing, not cause.
Over the tracked window: rose 26.8pp from 73% to 100%, gradually rather than in one jump.
73%
31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
73%
31 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
73%
31 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
73%
31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
83%
2 Nov 2026, 16:00 UTC
100%
4 Nov 2026, 19:00 UTC
Final or last-recorded Polymarket figures retained for historical reference.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Historical probability path. Live movement analysis is not shown for this market status.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for STRC between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, has a final “High” value of at least $100. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the STRC “High” values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=NASDAQ%3ASTRC, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. If, on the listed date at 11:59 PM ET, price data is unavailable from TradingView for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and MarketWatch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
Resolution source: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=NASDAQ%3ASTRC. This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 1 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 30 | 100.0% | +22.5pp | $17K | awaiting resolution |
| December 31 | 100.0% | +13.7pp | $36K | awaiting resolution |
| September 30 | 0.0% | -1.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| June 30 | 0.0% | -0.4pp | $0 | resolved |
| October 31 | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.