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Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 100% probability for this outcome. Figures may lag the live source market.
Last recorded probability
100%Trading is no longer treated as active while the final result is pending. The figures below are historical and excluded from live rankings and signals.
Probability history will appear after additional syncs.
100%
What changed
A plain-language read of the stored probability path. It describes timing, not cause.
The timeline will become useful after additional syncs record a second probability point.
Final or last-recorded Polymarket figures retained for historical reference.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Historical probability path. Live movement analysis is not shown for this market status.
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament. If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 31 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Scheffler | 99.5% | +81.0pp | $7K | awaiting resolution |
| Chris Gotterup | 0.0% | -7.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Ludvig Åberg | 0.0% | -8.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Akshay Bhatia | 0.0% | -0.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Si Woo Kim | 0.0% | -0.6pp | $0 | resolved |
| Gary Woodland | 0.0% | -0.9pp | $0 | resolved |
| Cameron Young | 0.0% | -2.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Adam Scott | 0.0% | -4.6pp | $0 | resolved |
| Rory McIlroy | 0.0% | -3.2pp | $0 | resolved |
| Xander Schauffele | 0.0% | -2.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Sam Burns | 0.0% | -2.0pp | $0 | resolved |
| Robert MacIntyre | 0.0% | -0.8pp | $0 | resolved |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 0.0% | -0.6pp | $0 | resolved |
| Russell Henley | 0.0% | -0.6pp | $0 | resolved |
| Collin Morikawa | 0.0% | -0.9pp | $0 | resolved |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 0.0% | -0.9pp | $0 | resolved |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | 0.0% | -0.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Min Woo Lee | 0.0% | -0.7pp | $0 | resolved |
| Ryan Gerard | 0.0% | -17.6pp | $0 | resolved |
| Justin Rose | 0.0% | -1.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Jacob Bridgeman | 0.0% | -0.7pp | $0 | resolved |
| Sahith Theegala | 0.0% | -1.4pp | $0 | resolved |
| Sudarshan Yellamaraju | 0.0% | -0.7pp | $0 | resolved |
| Jake Knapp | 0.0% | -0.05pp | $0 | resolved |
| Nicolai Højgaard | 0.0% | -0.3pp | $0 | resolved |
| Sepp Straka | 0.0% | -1.7pp | $0 | resolved |
| Ryo Hisatsune | 0.0% | -4.0pp | $0 | resolved |
| Daniel Berger | 0.0% | +1.4pp | $0 | resolved |
| J.J. Spaun | 0.0% | -0.2pp | $0 | resolved |
| Nico Echavarria | 0.0% | -0.8pp | $0 | resolved |
Probability sum: 99.5% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)