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Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 100% probability for this outcome. Figures may lag the live source market.
Final recorded probability
100%Final outcome: Yes
This market is final. The figures below are retained as a historical record and are excluded from live rankings and signals.
Probability history will appear after additional syncs.
100%
What changed
A plain-language read of the stored probability path. It describes timing, not cause.
The timeline will become useful after additional syncs record a second probability point.
Final or last-recorded Polymarket figures retained for historical reference.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Historical probability path. Live movement analysis is not shown for this market status.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 11 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peggy Flanagan | 100.0% | +30.4pp | $92K | resolved |
| Angie Craig | 0.1% | -30.4pp | $153K | resolved |
| Ilhan Omar | 0.1% | — | $88K | resolved |
| Melisa Hortman | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| David Wellstone | 0.1% | — | $93K | resolved |
| Betty McCollum | 0.1% | — | $88K | resolved |
| Melisa López Franzen | 0.1% | — | $88K | resolved |
| Steve Simon | 0.1% | — | $92K | resolved |
| Jacob Frey | 0.1% | — | $96K | resolved |
| Keith Ellison | 0.1% | — | $90K | resolved |
Probability sum: 100.3% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)