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Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 0% probability for this outcome. Figures may lag the live source market.
Last recorded probability
0%Trading is no longer treated as active while the final result is pending. The figures below are historical and excluded from live rankings and signals.
Probability history will appear after additional syncs.
0%
What changed
A plain-language read of the stored probability path. It describes timing, not cause.
The timeline will become useful after additional syncs record a second probability point.
Final or last-recorded Polymarket figures retained for historical reference.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Historical probability path. Live movement analysis is not shown for this market status.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on July 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/ If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 30 Jul 2026, 06:00 UTC
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5%+ | 0.1% | -5.8pp | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| 2.0-2.5% | 100.0% | +73.8pp | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| 1.0-1.5% | 0.1% | -17.4pp | $5K | awaiting resolution |
| 1.5-2.0% | 0.1% | -37.5pp | $3K | awaiting resolution |
| 0.0-0.5% | 0.1% | -6.3pp | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| 0.5-1.0% | 0.1% | -1.9pp | $3K | awaiting resolution |
| -0.5-0.0% | 0.1% | -1.3pp | $3K | awaiting resolution |
| <-0.5% | 0.1% | -1.6pp | $17K | awaiting resolution |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.