Sport
Signal: MediumMarket data current
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
1%
Limited history
24h activity $606Closes 1 Apr 2027
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Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 0% probability for this outcome. Figures may lag the live source market.
Current implied probability
0%24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
0%
24h Change
0.0pp
7D Change
Under 7d tracked
30D Change
Under 30d tracked
Snapshots
100
What changed
A plain-language read of the stored probability path. It describes timing, not cause.
Over the tracked window: rose 0.0pp from 0% to 0%, gradually rather than in one jump.
0%
16 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC
0%
16 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
0%
16 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
0%
16 Oct 2026, 12:24 UTC
0%
16 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
0%
20 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferrari | 0.8% | — | $50K | active |
| McLaren | 0.1% | — | $89K | active |
| Mercedes | 99.2% | — | $99K | active |
| Red Bull Racing | 0.1% | — | $105K | active |
| Williams | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Cadillac | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Alpine | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Haas | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Aston Martin | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Audi | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Racing Bulls | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
Probability sum: 100.3% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)
Forward watch
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.” If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 1 Apr 2027, 03:59 UTC