Sport
Signal: LowMarket data current
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award?
94%
Limited history
24h activity $34Closes 1 Jan 2027
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Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 1% probability for this outcome. Figures may lag the live source market.
Current implied probability
1%24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
1%
24h Change
0.0pp
7D Change
Under 7d tracked
30D Change
Under 30d tracked
Snapshots
100
What changed
A plain-language read of the stored probability path. It describes timing, not cause.
Over the tracked window: rose 0.4pp from 0% to 1%, gradually rather than in one jump.
0%
27 Sept 2026, 20:00 UTC
0%
27 Sept 2026, 21:00 UTC
0%
27 Sept 2026, 22:00 UTC
0%
27 Sept 2026, 23:00 UTC
0%
30 Sept 2026, 13:41 UTC
1%
1 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez | 93.5% | — | $7K | active |
| Mark Vientos | 0.7% | — | $259 | active |
| George Springer | 0.3% | -0.05pp | $593 | active |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.7% | — | $660 | active |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.7% | -0.8pp | $785 | active |
| Kyle Schwarber | 0.3% | +0.05pp | $866 | active |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.8% | -0.05pp | $606 | active |
| Shohei Ohtani | 1.8% | -0.2pp | $852 | active |
| Starling Marte | 0.1% | -0.4pp | $286 | active |
| Christian Yelich | 1.1% | +0.1pp | $112 | active |
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.6% | +0.05pp | $615 | active |
| Brett Baty | 0.4% | — | $1K | active |
| Brent Rooker | 0.7% | — | $561 | active |
| Joc Pederson | 0.7% | -0.1pp | $3K | active |
| Samuel Basallo | 0.4% | — | $820 | active |
| Jarren Duran | 0.3% | — | $567 | active |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.6% | +0.1pp | $709 | active |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5% | +0.1pp | $457 | active |
| Miguel Andujar | 0.4% | -0.1pp | $753 | active |
| Nick Castellanos | 0.3% | — | $596 | active |
| Salvador Perez | 0.2% | — | $544 | active |
| Mickey Moniak | 0.3% | +0.1pp | $477 | active |
| Ivan Herrera | 0.4% | — | $535 | active |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.7% | — | $149 | active |
| James Wood | 0.7% | — | $300 | active |
| Mike Trout | 0.7% | — | $245 | active |
Probability sum: 107.8% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)
Forward watch
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 19 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC