Politics

Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 0% probability for this outcome, a -0.1pp change over 24 hours. Figures may lag the live source market.

Current implied probability

Market data currentStable consensus-0.1pp (24h)

Recent probability movement (down 0.1pp) is weak, with acceptable but not deep market activity.

Signal: Medium

Current

24h Change

-0.1pp

7D Change

Not enough history

30D Change

Not enough history

Snapshots

100

Market Snapshot — read-only

Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.

Yes implied probability: 0.1%
No implied probability: 99.8%
Liquidity: $2.0M
24h activity: $12K
Lifetime volume: $29.0M
Data Source: Polymarket
Last Synced: 14 Sept 2026, 16:00 UTC

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Movement Read

This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.

Probability is mostly stable over 24h. The recorded move is down 0.1pp. Activity is moderate — the move is plausible but not fully confirmed by deep liquidity.

Source event comparison

Related outcomes in one view

Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.

Outcome	Probability	24h change	Liquidity	State
Steve Bannon	0.3%	—	$1.9M	active
Mike Pence	0.1%	—	$1.8M	active
Marco Rubio	17.1%	+0.3pp	$318K	active
Katie Britt	0.1%	-0.1pp	$2.0M	active
Elon Musk	0.1%	—	$2.2M	active
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.	0.3%	—	$1.7M	active
Donald Trump	1.9%	—	$336K	active
J.D. Vance	51.3%	—	$338K	active
Tucker Carlson	3.5%	-0.1pp	$270K	active
Ivanka Trump	0.8%	—	$788K	active
Ron DeSantis	2.4%	—	$383K	active
Erika Kirk	0.1%	—	$2.1M	active
Donald Trump Jr.	1.6%	—	$599K	active
Rand Paul	0.3%	—	$1.4M	active
Ted Cruz	1.8%	+0.1pp	$759K	active
John N. Kennedy	0.1%	—	$1.3M	active
Kristi Noem	0.1%	—	$1.3M	active
Thomas Massie	0.7%	—	$409K	active
Vivek Ramaswamy	0.3%	—	$717K	active
Nikki Haley	0.1%	—	$1.3M	active
Byron Donalds	0.3%	—	$2.0M	active
Elise Stefanik	0.1%	—	$2.2M	active
Kim Kardashian	0.1%	—	$2.3M	active
Tulsi Gabbard	0.4%	+0.05pp	$952K	active
Brian Kemp	0.3%	—	$808K	active
Marjorie Taylor Greene	0.3%	—	$995K	active
Greg Abbott	0.1%	—	$1.7M	active
Tom Brady	0.1%	—	$2.1M	active
Josh Hawley	0.3%	—	$982K	active
Joe Kent	0.1%	—	$1.5M	active
Eric Trump	0.2%	—	$1.6M	active
Pete Hegseth	0.5%	—	$1.8M	active
Tom Cotton	0.1%	—	$124K	active
Candace Owens	0.3%	—	$849K	active
Rick Scott	0.1%	—	$1.1M	active
Matt Gaetz	0.1%	—	$2.1M	active
John Thune	0.1%	—	$2.1M	active
Sarah Huckabee Sanders	0.1%	—	$2.2M	active
Glenn Youngkin	0.5%	—	$262K	active
Mike Johnson	0.1%	—	$1.1M	active
Doug Burgum	0.1%	—	$1.1M	active
Tim Scott	0.1%	—	$1.1M	active

Probability sum: 87.3% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)

Resolution Rules

Resolves Yes if …

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Resolves No if …

No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.

Important caveats

This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.

Market close time (source timestamp): 7 Nov 2028, 00:00 UTC