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Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 0% probability for this outcome. Figures may lag the live source market.
Final recorded probability
0%Final outcome: No
This market is final. The figures below are retained as a historical record and are excluded from live rankings and signals.
Final / last recorded
0%
24h Change
-0.1pp
7D Change
Under 7d tracked
30D Change
Under 30d tracked
Snapshots
100
What changed
A plain-language read of the stored probability path. It describes timing, not cause.
Over the tracked window: rose 0.0pp from 0% to 0%, gradually rather than in one jump.
0%
19 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC
0%
19 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC
0%
19 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
0%
19 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
0%
19 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
0%
23 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
Final or last-recorded Polymarket figures retained for historical reference.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Historical probability path. Live movement analysis is not shown for this market status.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Platinum Glove award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 1 Jan 2027, 04:59 UTC
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.1% | -0.1pp | $422 | active |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 37.5% | -0.5pp | $163 | active |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 23.5% | +3.5pp | $348 | active |
| Chase Meidroth | 0.1% | -0.1pp | $419 | active |
| Tanner Bibee | 0.1% | -0.1pp | $411 | active |
| Cole Young | 0.3% | — | $355 | active |
| Dillon Dingler | 4.0% | — | $332 | active |
| Wilyer Abreu | 2.9% | +0.1pp | $292 | active |
| Steven Kwan | 0.2% | -0.05pp | $470 | active |
| Cody Bellinger | 5.1% | -4.0pp | $232 | active |
| Caleb Durbin | 0.7% | — | $184 | active |
| Taylor Walls | 3.4% | -1.2pp | $281 | active |
| Andrés Giménez | 0.7% | — | $252 | active |
| Cam Smith | 0.1% | — | $433 | active |
| Marcus Semien | 0.0% | -1.3pp | $0 | resolved |
| Jonah Heim | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.0% | -2.7pp | $0 | resolved |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.0% | -0.2pp | $0 | resolved |
| Mauricio Dubón | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Nathaniel Lowe | 0.0% | -3.0pp | $0 | resolved |
| Carlos Santana | 0.0% | -2.9pp | $0 | resolved |
| Ty France | 0.0% | -0.3pp | $0 | resolved |
| Alex Bregman | 0.0% | -2.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.0% | -1.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.0% | -0.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.0% | -0.3pp | $0 | resolved |
| Matt Chapman | 0.0% | -0.3pp | $0 | resolved |
| Adolis García | 0.0% | -0.4pp | $0 | resolved |
| Dylan Moore | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
Probability sum: 78.3% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)