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Sport

Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?

26%Synced 4 Jul 2026, 03:01 UTCStable consensus-0.7pp (24h)

Recent probability movement (down 0.7pp) is moderate, with acceptable but not deep market activity.

Signal: Medium

Current

26%

24h Change

-0.7pp

7D Change

Not enough history

30D Change

Not enough history

Snapshots

8

0%25%50%75%100%30 Jun3 Jul4 Jul

Movement Read

This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.

Probability is mostly stable over 24h. The recorded move is down 0.7pp. Activity is moderate — the move is plausible but not fully confirmed by deep liquidity.

Market Snapshot — read-only

Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.

Yes implied probability
25.6%
No implied probability
74.5%
Liquidity
$128
Market Activity
$40K
Data Source
Polymarket
Last Synced
4 Jul 2026, 03:01 UTC
View on Polymarket

Resolution Rules

Resolves Yes if …

The market will resolve to "Yes" if Lee "Faker" Sang-hyeok is officially announced as the Finals MVP of any international event in 2026 (such as First Stand, MSI, Esports World Cup, Worlds, or any other officially recognized global Riot Games LoL tournament). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may resolve to “No” when it becomes impossible for Faker to win such an award (e.g., if his team is eliminated from all remaining international events without him receiving an MVP, or the season concludes without qualification). This market will resolve to “No” if no Finals MVP Award has been officially announced for Faker by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official LoL Esports channels and Riot Games (https://lolesports.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolves No if …

No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.

Important caveats

This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.

Resolution deadline: 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC

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