Sport
Signal: MediumMarket data current
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0%
Limited history
24h activity $434KCloses 30 May 2027
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Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 2% probability for this outcome, a +1.1pp change over 24 hours. Figures may lag the live source market.
Current implied probability
2%Probability is barely changed (up 1.1pp). High liquidity supports the reading, but this is not a meaningful move.
Signal: HighCurrent
2%
24h Change
+1.1pp
7D Change
Under 7d tracked
30D Change
Under 30d tracked
Snapshots
26
What changed
A plain-language read of the stored probability path. It describes timing, not cause.
Over the tracked window: rose 1.0pp from 1% to 2%, gradually rather than in one jump.
1%
4 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC
1%
4 Nov 2026, 07:00 UTC
1%
4 Nov 2026, 08:00 UTC
1%
4 Nov 2026, 09:00 UTC
2%
4 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC
2%
5 Nov 2026, 07:00 UTC
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability changed slightly over 24h. The recorded move is up 1.1pp. Liquidity is strong, but the shift is too small to treat as a meaningful consensus change.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 0.1% | — | $173K | active |
| Fenerbahçe | 0.1% | +0.1pp | $263K | active |
| Real Madrid | 14.5% | — | $255K | active |
| Como | 1.9% | +1.1pp | $139K | active |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 18.5% | — | $459K | active |
| Liverpool | 3.6% | -0.9pp | $292K | active |
| PSV Eindhoven | 0.1% | -0.1pp | $336K | active |
| Galatasaray | 0.3% | — | $192K | active |
| Real Betis | 0.8% | — | $153K | active |
| Borussia Dortmund | 0.8% | — | $192K | active |
| Barcelona | 22.5% | — | $327K | active |
| Manchester City | 6.5% | — | $300K | active |
| Club Brugge | 0.3% | +0.1pp | $285K | active |
| Porto | 0.1% | — | $287K | active |
| Aston Villa | 1.1% | -0.1pp | $191K | active |
| Inter Milan | 1.6% | -0.3pp | $167K | active |
| Arsenal | 14.5% | — | $230K | active |
| Bayern Munich | 12.5% | — | $225K | active |
| Roma | 0.6% | -0.2pp | $187K | active |
| Atlético Madrid | 1.9% | -0.2pp | $168K | active |
| VfB Stuttgart | 0.5% | — | $122K | active |
| Manchester United | 1.1% | — | $240K | active |
| Sporting CP | 0.5% | — | $264K | active |
| Napoli | 0.3% | -0.1pp | $181K | active |
| LASK | 0.1% | — | $334K | active |
| Bodø/Glimt | 0.1% | — | $456K | active |
| Villarreal | 0.1% | -0.2pp | $182K | active |
| RB Leipzig | 0.1% | — | $172K | active |
| Lens | 0.1% | — | $409K | active |
| Lille | 0.1% | — | $276K | active |
| Feyenoord | 0.1% | — | $507K | active |
| Viking | 0.1% | — | $348K | active |
| Slavia Prague | 0.1% | — | $642K | active |
| Sabah | 0.1% | — | $628K | active |
| Slovan Bratislava | 0.1% | — | $635K | active |
| AEK Athens | 0.1% | — | $548K | active |
Probability sum: 105.6% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)
Forward watch
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 20 Jun 2027, 03:59 UTC