Sport
Signal: LowMarket data current
Will Indipendiente Petrolero win Bolivia LFPB?
49%
Limited history-0.5pp
Lifetime volume $33Closes 31 Dec 2026
Loading the latest market intelligence…
Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 48% probability for this outcome, a -1.0pp change over 24 hours. Figures may lag the live source market.
Current implied probability
48%Probability changed slightly over 24h. Signal quality is low because liquidity is limited.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
48%
24h Change
-1.0pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability changed slightly over 24h. The recorded move is down 1.0pp. Signal quality is low because liquidity is limited; liquidity is $3 and 24h activity is unavailable. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indipendiente Petrolero | 48.5% | -0.5pp | $2 | active |
| Real Potosí | 49.0% | -0.5pp | $2 | active |
| Bolívar | 30.0% | — | $7 | active |
| The Strongest | 29.5% | -0.5pp | $14 | active |
| Always Ready | 29.5% | -0.5pp | $12 | active |
| Bulo Bulo | 46.0% | -1.5pp | $2 | active |
| Real Tomayapo | 48.0% | -0.5pp | $2 | active |
| ABB | 49.0% | -0.5pp | $2 | active |
| Aurora | 49.0% | -0.5pp | $1 | active |
| Oriente Petrolero | 47.0% | -2.0pp | $3 | active |
| Universitario de Vinto | 47.5% | -1.5pp | $3 | active |
| Guabirá | 47.5% | -2.0pp | $3 | active |
| Real Oruro | 48.5% | -1.0pp | $3 | active |
| Blooming | 48.0% | -1.0pp | $3 | active |
| Nacional Potosí | 47.5% | -1.5pp | $2 | active |
| GV San Jose | 47.5% | -2.0pp | $2 | active |
Probability sum: 712.0% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Bolivia LFPB. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Bolivia LFPB per the rules of Bolivia LFPB (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Bolivia LFPB; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 31 Dec 2026, 03:59 UTC
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
49%
49%
30%
30%
30%
46%