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Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 0% probability for this outcome. Figures may lag the live source market.
Final recorded probability
0%Final outcome: No
This market is final. The figures below are retained as a historical record and are excluded from live rankings and signals.
Final / last recorded
0%
24h Change
-0.1pp
7D Change
Under 7d tracked
30D Change
Under 30d tracked
Snapshots
100
What changed
A plain-language read of the stored probability path. It describes timing, not cause.
Over the tracked window: rose 0.0pp from 0% to 0%, gradually rather than in one jump.
0%
11 Oct 2026, 14:02 UTC
0%
11 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
0%
11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
0%
11 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
0%
11 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
0%
15 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
Final or last-recorded Polymarket figures retained for historical reference.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Historical probability path. Live movement analysis is not shown for this market status.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 1 Jan 2026, 04:00 UTC
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| by September 30, 2027 | 18.0% | +2.0pp | $5K | active |
| by December 31, 2027 | 22.0% | -1.5pp | $14K | active |
| by December 31, 2026 | 2.9% | +0.1pp | $66K | active |
| by June 30, 2027 | 12.5% | -0.5pp | $11K | active |
| by March 31, 2027 | 5.0% | -2.5pp | $6K | active |
| by December 31, 2025 | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| by September 30, 2025 | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| by June 30, 2026 | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| by March 31, 2026 | 0.0% | +0.8pp | $0 | resolved |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.