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Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 48% probability for this outcome. Figures may lag the live source market.
Last recorded probability
48%Trading is no longer treated as active while the final result is pending. The figures below are historical and excluded from live rankings and signals.
Probability history will appear after additional syncs.
48%
What changed
A plain-language read of the stored probability path. It describes timing, not cause.
The timeline will become useful after additional syncs record a second probability point.
Final or last-recorded Polymarket figures retained for historical reference.
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Historical probability path. Live movement analysis is not shown for this market status.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Bilibili Gaming's active League of Legends roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the Bilibili Gaming Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Bilibili_Gaming) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active roster consists of the following players: Bin, Wenbo, Xun, Knight, Yxl, Viper, and ON. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single match will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
Resolution source: https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Bilibili_Gaming. This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 30 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTC