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Last recorded probability
0%Trading is no longer treated as active while the final result is pending. The figures below are historical and excluded from live rankings and signals.
Probability history will appear after additional syncs.
0%
Final or last-recorded Polymarket figures retained for historical reference.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Historical probability path. Live movement analysis is not shown for this market status.
This market will resolve to the nation that records the most total goals through all rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA World Cup rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the nation who advanced farther in the competition. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation that is listed first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 3 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | 0.1% | -0.1pp | $381K | awaiting resolution |
| Argentina | 0.1% | -67.4pp | $103K | awaiting resolution |
| England | 100.0% | +68.5pp | $81K | awaiting resolution |
| Spain | 0.1% | -0.1pp | $101K | awaiting resolution |
| Switzerland | 0.0% | -0.3pp | $0 | resolved |
| Belgium | 0.0% | -2.6pp | $0 | resolved |
| Norway | 0.0% | -5.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Germany | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Portugal | 0.0% | -1.9pp | $0 | resolved |
| Austria | 0.0% | -0.05pp | $0 | resolved |
| Brazil | 0.0% | -2.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| United States | 0.0% | -1.3pp | $0 | resolved |
| Netherlands | 0.0% | -8.6pp | $0 | resolved |
| Japan | 0.0% | -0.6pp | $0 | resolved |
| Morocco | 0.0% | -0.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Colombia | 0.0% | -0.3pp | $0 | resolved |
| Croatia | 0.0% | -0.6pp | $0 | resolved |
| Mexico | 0.0% | -0.3pp | $0 | resolved |
| Canada | 0.0% | -0.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Senegal | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Egypt | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Sweden | 0.0% | -0.3pp | $0 | resolved |
| Ivory Coast | 0.0% | -0.3pp | $0 | resolved |
| Uruguay | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Türkiye | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Ghana | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Australia | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Ecuador | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| South Korea | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Paraguay | 0.0% | -0.05pp | $0 | resolved |
| Scotland | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Cape Verde | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Algeria | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Jordan | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Saudi Arabia | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Czechia | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| DR Congo | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Qatar | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Iraq | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Uzbekistan | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Iran | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| New Zealand | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Panama | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| South Africa | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Tunisia | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Haiti | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Curaçao | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.