Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?
22685cee-6102-4fb7-88f6-2f5aff20bf4b
Probability
88%
24h movement
+40.0pp
Signal: High
24h activity $108K
Liq $21K
2 Sept 2026, 23:00 UTC
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Compare market-implied probabilities for GPT-6 to be released by successive 2026 deadlines, with liquidity and movement context.
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Lead mover: Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026? · 88% · +40.0pp · 24h activity $108K
Compare cumulative deadline probabilities for a GPT-6 release during 2026.
22685cee-6102-4fb7-88f6-2f5aff20bf4b
88%
+40.0pp
24h activity $108K
Liq $21K
2 Sept 2026, 23:00 UTC
7822b01a-72bb-4e0b-b8dc-b1eaccfd1ffe
89%
+34.5pp
24h activity $109K
Liq $9K
2 Sept 2026, 23:00 UTC
8b0dcb28-fa58-46bc-bd17-6c0a18a1c230
91%
+30.5pp
24h activity $12K
Liq $10K
2 Sept 2026, 23:00 UTC
e0d005fc-0525-4031-a149-12d791f4394f
92%
+20.0pp
24h activity $16K
Liq $12K
2 Sept 2026, 23:00 UTC
570110ca-70ba-48be-8e9f-3e6540617a75
94%
+19.5pp
24h activity $77K
Liq $15K
2 Sept 2026, 23:00 UTC