Sport
HighFresh
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Included because probability moved -1.6pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
97%
-1.6ppVol $17KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Category
Sport
Tournament and season outcome probability movement across major leagues.
2,959 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 36 of 360 matching sport markets.
Showing 145-180 of 360 markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only +0.4pp.
High activity
8%
+0.4ppVol $16KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Matteo Berrettini be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only -0.3pp.
High activity
1%
-0.3ppVol $16KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Included because probability moved -1.4pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
96%
-1.4ppVol $16KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
1%
-0.1ppVol $16KCloses 6 Dec 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
1%
-0.2ppVol $16KCloses —
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only -0.4pp.
High activity
97%
-0.4ppVol $16KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will McCartney Kessler be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
1%
+0.6ppVol $15KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
0%
Vol $15KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only +0.7pp.
High activity
4%
+0.7ppVol $15KCloses 31 Mar 2027
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Belinda Bencic be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only -0.1pp.
High activity
2%
-0.1ppVol $14KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
9%
+0.6ppVol $14KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Canada reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
1%
-0.6ppVol $14KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only -0.05pp.
High activity
2%
-0.05ppVol $14KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumStale data
Will Serena Williams be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-1.2ppVol $13KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?
Included because probability moved +4.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
73%
+4.0ppVol $13KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Xinyu Wang be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
+0.1ppVol $13KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $13KCloses 6 Dec 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
Vol $13KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
Vol $13KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
Vol $13KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $12KCloses 6 Dec 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $12KCloses 6 Dec 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only +0.6pp.
High activity
10%
+0.6ppVol $12KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
1%
-0.1ppVol $12KCloses 6 Dec 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.1ppVol $12KCloses 6 Dec 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.1ppVol $12KCloses 6 Dec 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Paraguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
0%
-1.3ppVol $12KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only -0.3pp.
High activity
4%
-0.3ppVol $12KCloses 6 Dec 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
1%
+0.1ppVol $11KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only -0.1pp.
High activity
6%
-0.1ppVol $11KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Paula Badosa be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-0.2ppVol $11KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will a player representing Morocco be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
0%
+0.05ppVol $11KCloses 20 Aug 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
0%
Vol $11KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Jelena Ostapenko be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
0%
-0.8ppVol $11KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only -0.6pp.
High activity
1%
-0.6ppVol $11KCloses 6 Dec 2026
Avg 24h move 3.6pp501 markets with notable movementCombined activity $230.0M
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