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Final recorded probability
100%Final outcome: Yes
This market is final. The figures below are retained as a historical record and are excluded from live rankings and signals.
Final / last recorded
100%
24h Change
+13.2pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Final or last-recorded Polymarket figures retained for historical reference.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Historical probability path. Live movement analysis is not shown for this market status.
This market will resolve according to the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding. If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". the resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 31 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Martin | 45.8% | -1.1pp | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| Blake Lively | 0.0% | -0.05pp | $0 | resolved |
| Brittany Mahomes | 100.0% | +10.4pp | $0 | resolved |
| Selena Gomez | 100.0% | +6.9pp | $0 | resolved |
| Alana Haim | 100.0% | +9.6pp | $0 | resolved |
| Lana Del Rey | 0.0% | -7.0pp | $0 | resolved |
| Sabrina Carpenter | 100.0% | +6.0pp | $0 | resolved |
| Jack Antonoff | 100.0% | +5.9pp | $0 | resolved |
| Patrick Mahomes | 100.0% | +13.2pp | $0 | resolved |
| Este Haim | 100.0% | +6.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Jared Goff | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Danielle Haim | 100.0% | +10.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Gracie Abrams | 100.0% | +13.6pp | $0 | resolved |
| Phoebe Bridgers | 0.0% | -8.2pp | $0 | resolved |
| Andrew Tate | 0.0% | -0.7pp | $0 | resolved |
| Kanye West | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.